Category Archives: Geopolitics
Straights are open, ceasefire appears to be in effect
George Friedman: On the state of the Iran US war
Many years ago, prior to Obama, I subscribed to a geopolitical news service called, Strafor. A neologism for Strategic forecasting. It was really a breath of fresh air to read. At the time it was way more than I could afford, but I made the sacrifice of other things and paid for it. And it continued to be a great source of proper news, in a way sort of like the CBC was prior to Trudeau Senior in Canada. Then along came Obama and suddenly Stratfor was just as much a propaganda organ as everywhere else.
I wasn’t the only one to notice this. According to a woman that ran a radio podcast thing I was on frequently back in the day, various high ranking US military officers had reported the same observed transformation.
The man who ran STRATFOR, George Friedman, has apparently moved on to form a new agency called Geopolitical Forecasting. I am giving it a trial run for a month to see what I think.
Here is a video interview he did on the Iran war. And yes, it is very much in the style of STRATFOR. FWIW I also read his book, The Future of War, which is a riveting read. And he explains a little in this interview what he got right and what he didn’t see coming.
For those that like rage bait, gossip level politics or the kinds of active measures that support whatever position you hold on the US Iran war, or on Israel or the US or Iran, you will be disappointed. This will feel very vanilla. Very ‘just the facts ma’am’.
Personally I find it refreshing.
US & Israel intensify attacks on Iran, Persian women start to take back freedom and control from ‘Morality police’
We have heard that the B3 Spirit bombers are also now on the way to Iran.
In the previous post, we talked about the responsibility of the people to now take back power for themselves. The following Tweet is a perfect example of exactly what I meant.
Some events which define the past 2 days from the attack to some minor ‘sleeper cell’ attacks within North America
Before we start, a couple of housekeeping notes.
Proof that the poster who calls himself, Mockster or something like that, is not an honest actor, is that I have spammed his email address or IP address few times and he continues to post his weirdly antisemitic tripe by bypassing the measures in place. This is a lot like someone breaking into the states illegally from accross the border to criticize Americans while pretending he was legally there and American himself. If was an honest actor, he would not be trying to bypass the blocks just to post that bilge on this particular site. So keep that in mind if you happen across his weird posts.
Secondly, on the operations within Iran:
The main concern appears to be what happens next.
When a prisoner is let out of jail, the expectation is that he goes on to lead an honest and productive life. Organizations exist should he choose to use them, that help him achieve this goal. And that’s great. But the state’s job, letting him out of jail, is done and ends there.
In previous wars, the great complaint against the USA was that they had no business doing nation building. Those critics were likely correct. Unlike the nation builders post WW1, the current crop had no idea how other cultures actually think. The Sykes Picot pact took Islamic culture, beliefs, and norms into account and created a Middle East that actually worked for a long time. now of course it is politically incorrect to even imagine other cultures are somehow not identical to the socialism that we have created in the West. So attempts to nation build obviously cannot work without establishing ourselves as a dictator as fierce and ideologically rigid as what we deposed.
The USA has given the Persian people, the ones who rose up in the streets, the chance to take over their own country and create a new polity. One that will be imperfect and riddled with problems. But it will be theirs to shape. A much better situation than they had since the Communist revolution which allowed the Mullah regime to enter and conquer.
Western media will brutally mock any new polity because it will likely contain 5% of the brutality the previous regime had towards homosexuals. Maybe they won’t allow gay marriage or something and that is all we will hear about. But we did NOT hear about the constant murder of homosexuals and slow torturous deaths by strangulation that the regime should have been famous for. This is because Western media like CNN, CBC, CTV and Global recognized the IRI as being partners in the project to destroy the West as it was, you know, before they destroyed it with various narratives like DEI and ‘Trans’ etc.
People who were jailed and tortured for apostasy from Islam were not given air time on TV in the Western leftist media. But any restriction on freedom of speech of Jihadis or communists in the new Iran will get a shit-ton of air play. If for no other reason than an attempt to make Trump look bad by proxy.
As for retaliation, let’s take a game theory approach to the situation.
Say 2000 people were placed in Toronto as sleeper cells say, 10 years ago. Each one only known to the other members of his particular cell.
At this stage each has a life in Canada. Maybe a lover or wife. Maybe they have been getting paid or not to be sleeper cells for Iran. but now, they know for a fact they will NOT be paid. There is in a real world sense, no incentive for them to proceed if a kill switch causes them to be activated and they are to go forth and commit mayhem on behalf of the dead leaders of the IRI.
There might still be a negative pressure. Other members of the cell may kill or otherwise harm a member who refuses to act. But no motive is intact which is positive for them. The regime they fight for is gone, no money for their actions, and nowhere to escape to should they decide to do a little terror in retaliation. The smart move would be to keep driving for Uber, or maybe if cautious, switch to Blue Line Taxi and shave the beard off.
The lack of money may actually account for the amazingly small demonstrations against this action we saw so far. In Ottawa, there was just a few far leftists protesting with signs that insulted Donald Trump. Parenthetically, you should have seen their faces when hundreds of non-White Persians marched up the same street to the US Embassy chanting THANK YOU THANK YOU DONALD TRUMP, THANK YOU THANK YOU Netanyahu!
Was like they had eaten an open oyster.
Having said all that, this did happen in Toronto today:
So yeah, there clearly is some kind of attacks from IRI regime agents. But while putting 17 bullets into a gym at night is really, really bad by Canadian standards when not done by a trannie, no one getting hurt seems like a pretty decent price to pay for getting rid of the regime responsible for an incalculable amount of death and suffering of their own population, guilty of nothing more than resisting Islamic precepts.
In Montreal there was a small demo in support of the regime by the usual Pali and leftist loyalists. Natasha Live free or Die in Montreal carried this story. And I did notice that one of the flags was from the Marxist Leninist Party. When they are out in the streets of Ottawa they are in large numbers. In Montreal I just saw one of them.
In Ottawa, at least yesterday, it was ONLY groups in favour of the attack, (regular anti-Trump protest not withstanding as it had no indication of representing specific objections to the Iran strikes.)
Lastly, someone on the site accused me of being a ‘war monger’.
Personally I find that phrase to be as meaningless as say, a surgery monger,. An antibiotics monger. Or more practically, an “anti-vaxxer” or “Climate denier”.
Life is a series of cost benefit equations.
Sometimes the actions of a single well trained soldier can save more lives in an instant than a team of doctors over a lifetime. And sometimes not. If the standard is to reduce suffering, reduce the number of deaths for irrational reasons, increase the likelihood people being able to just live their lives and enjoy them, then soldiers often to an amazing job of assisting with that. And sometimes, they don’t.
Like getting surgery. Can save your life and mobility, or kill or cripple you. Depends. Same with medications. Same with vaccines. It is all cost benefit, or risk benefit. There are no absolutes here. And nothing is guaranteed as well. You pays your money and you takes your chances.
I saw hundreds of Persians marching in Ottawa, thrilled to tears that at last, the evil Mullah regime was being destroyed. They chanted for the US and for Israel out of gratitude. This was an actual grass roots protest. Had they had more time to organize, it would have been tens of thousands. Toronto saw a protest with 400,000 attending to support then potential strikes on Iran. The protest appeared to be mostly by Persians judging by the signs and the chants. They had a week to organize that one. The one in Ottawa yesterday was organized overnight.
And now, for some news items:
The fiend behind Sunday’s bloodbath at a packed Austin bar was an ex-New York City resident wearing a “Property of Allah’’ hoodie — and possibly out for vengeance over the US attack on Iran, law-enforcement sources told The Post.
Crazed Texas shooter Ndiaga Diagne, 53, of Senegal arrived in the US in 2000 during the Democratic Clinton administration and became a naturalized US citizen in 2013 around the start of former President Barack Obama’s second term — despite his growing rap sheet spanning New York and Texas.
On Sunday, the killer had a Quran in his car and was possibly also wearing an undershirt featuring the Iranian flag or other Iranian symbols when he opened fire on Buford’s Backyard Beer Garden near the University of Texas-Austin campus, according to sources familiar with the investigation.
https://twitter.com/nicksortor/status/2028162170932875711?s=20
(I Bet if CBC was reporting on this, it would claim he was found with religious materials, possibly in the shape of a Cross.)
2. Nine Injured at Shooting in Cincinnati Music Venue
Nine people were injured when shots rang out just before 1 a.m. Sunday in Riverfront Live in Cincinnati, Ohio.
FOX 19 reported that two of the wounded individuals were treated and released and one remains in critical condition.
WCPO noted that police do not know what led up to the shooting and WLWT 5 pointed out there is currently no information on the shooting suspect.
Officers were already working near the venue when the shooting occurred, so they were able to arrive on scene quickly.
3. A documentary about the Helen Grus case appears to be about to launch. My only regret is I didn’t’t make it myself. But this looks like a better effort than I could have done. When it comes out, find out how to see it. I think it will be good.
4. I’m sure by now this is barely worth a yawn for US embassy staff in this part of the world. Still… Turn the sound down though.
5. Speaking of the CBC, yesterday, as we have mentioned, the downtown streets were awash with Persians singing the praises of Trump and the attack against the Mullah regime. And THIS is what the CBC published.
6. For those of you familiar with The Lord of the Rings, which character would this UK spokesman remind you of? I’m thinking Grima Wormtongue
Some items on the current active war between several Middle Eastern nations and the USA
First, this fellow pops up from time to time during major events. He essentially watches a number of sources at once and attempts to do a live update on events as they happen.
The post below is from Facebook. It was meant to show that a strike against Iran, and a very serious one was imminent and assured. While he was obviously correct, the post is still valuable as his reasoning is revealing of battlefield strategy and tactics.
I say we are 3 to 5 days away from Isreal launching a full on strike against Irans military and Nuclear facilities…
As the clock ticks…
The United States just deployed the one weapon system that tells you exactly what is coming next.
11 F-22 Raptors landed at Ovda Airbase in Israel’s Negev Desert today. They flew from RAF Lakenheath in England, supported by seven aerial refueling tankers, covering thousands of miles to reach Israeli soil. One of the original twelve turned back with a suspected fuel leak.
The rest completed the transit and are now sitting on Israeli tarmac.
This has never happened before. Not during the ISIS campaign. Not during Blue Flag exercises. Not during Operation Midnight Hammer in June 2025.
The F-22 Raptor, the most advanced air superiority fighter ever built, has never been based in Israel for a combat-oriented mission. Until today.
Now understand what the F-22 does, because it does not do what you think.
The F-22 does not bomb nuclear facilities. It does not carry bunker busters. It is not a strike aircraft.
The F-22 is a Suppression of Enemy Air Defenses platform. It kills the systems that protect targets. It neutralizes radar. It destroys surface-to-air missile batteries. It eliminates the S-300 and S-400 systems that Iran has spent decades layering around Fordow, Natanz, and Isfahan.
The F-22 is not the punch. It is the hand that moves the shield out of the way so the punch can land.
Iran’s air defense architecture is the single obstacle between the B-2 Spirit bombers carrying 30,000-pound GBU-57 bunker busters and the centrifuge halls buried under 80 meters of granite at Fordow.
The F-22’s entire purpose in this theater is to carve a corridor through that architecture, blind Iranian radar, destroy missile batteries along the ingress route, and ensure the bombers reach their targets without being engaged.
When you deploy your SEAD package to the theater, you are not deterring. You are building the ingress corridor.
Only 195 F-22s were ever built.
Approximately 180 remain operational. The United States just committed 11 of them, roughly 6 percent of the entire operational fleet of its most valuable airframe, to a single base in southern Israel.
You do not forward-deploy 6 percent of an irreplaceable weapons system for signaling.
You deploy it because the mission it was designed for is approaching.
Now connect this to what is already in theater.
Two carrier strike groups with 150-plus aircraft. 500-plus total combat aircraft. 700 tonnes of munitions via C-17. 40 aerial refueling tankers.
Three AWACS for airborne command and control. A P-8A mapping the Strait of Hormuz. Every ship cleared from Bahrain. Hundreds evacuated from Al Udeid. The IRGC massing at the Iraqi border.
Khamenei’s shadow government activated. Modi landing in Israel tomorrow to collect alliance signatures. Geneva on Wednesday. The 48-hour deadline expiring before any of it begins.
And now the SEAD package has arrived.
There is a sequence to air campaigns that has not changed since Desert Storm. First, you position your strike aircraft. Done.
Second, you stage your munitions. Done.
Third, you deploy your tankers for sustained operations. Done.
Fourth, you establish airborne command and control. Done.
Fifth, you map the retaliation corridor. Done.
Sixth, you deploy your SEAD assets to suppress enemy air defenses along the ingress route.
That sixth step happened today.
The seventh step is the phone call.
Germany has advised its citizens in Israel to prepare for airspace closures. India told its citizens to leave Iran. The US Embassy in Beirut is evacuating. Khamenei is dispersing his leadership. Iran is practicing closing the Strait of Hormuz.
Everyone on every side of this conflict is preparing for the same event. The only people not preparing are the ones who think this is still about deterrence.
The F-22s are not in Israel to deter. They are in Israel to clear the sky. And you only clear the sky when something is about to fly through it.
I’ll update this post over the day. But I want this out now for the top live report video. A lot is happening in real time now
Now THIS is interesting. Iran really knows how to piss people off when they especially need not to.
Grok translation:
The provided document is an official statement from the Saudi Ministry of Foreign Affairs (dated February 28, 2026 / 11 Ramadan 1447 AH).
.Here is a clear, accurate English translation:
The Kingdom of Saudi Arabia condemns and denounces in the strongest terms the blatant Iranian aggression and the flagrant violation of the sovereignty of the United Arab Emirates, the Kingdom of Bahrain, the State of Qatar, the State of Kuwait, and the Hashemite Kingdom of Jordan.It affirms its full solidarity with and support for these brotherly states, placing all its capabilities at their disposal to back any measures they may take, and warns of the grave consequences resulting from the continued violation of state sovereignty, the principles of international law, and the norms of international relations.The Kingdom of Saudi Arabia calls on the international community to condemn these attacks and to take all firm measures to confront the Iranian violations that undermine the security and stability of the region.Ministry of Foreign Affairs of the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia
February 28, 2026 / 11 Ramadan 1447 AH
[Social media handles and website: @KSAmofa
/ www.mofa.gov.sa] (http://www.mofa.gov.sa])This statement aligns with reports from that date, where Saudi Arabia (along with other Gulf states) issued condemnations following Iranian retaliatory strikes on U.S. assets/bases in the region, amid broader escalations involving U.S./Israel actions against Iran. The language emphasizes regional solidarity against what it portrays as Iranian threats to sovereignty and stability.
Mark Carney statement on the strikes
On official patriotism, and the attack on Mexican drug cartels
This seems like a good time to write about something which comes up from time to time.
There are a couple of things people say which either deliberately or accidentally helps an enemy to defeat us.
One of them is, “we lost” or, “we lost already”, which is tantamount to, “it’s too late!” (really meaning that there’s no point in doing or risking anything to fight back)…
There is a reason militaries care about morale. Like the Hockey video Johnny Posted, how people view themselves and their cause goes a long way to how hard they work to try and win.
So I want to address this issue on 2 levels. The first is that life is not static. While a person may take comfort in the idea of a win, or even a loss, as once it is decided that one has lost, they secretly take comfort in feeling like they have no more responsibility to actually do or risk anything anymore. This of course is an illusion as the loss typically will exact a toll on both effort and wealth and often much much more than that, as in the case of any state that was ever defeated by an Islamic effort or a communist one.
The second is the idea of what constitutes a loss.
In a real world sense, there is no permanence. Wars are a way of deciding things for a while. But short of extinction of a people, there is no permanent win. And if the issue is one of ideas, then there is no extinction short of a perfect memory hole, as Orwell defines it, and even then if it is an idea, that idea can form within the enemy camp and corrupt the unity of that system as well. They would just think it’s original if there is no prior records of it.
For example, we delivered a decisive victory over the Nazis in 1945, but it clearly is making a massive resurgence now, even if it is a minor variation of the theme. But even reverence for the authentic Nazis is making a comeback thanks to agents like Tucker Carlson and others who have a lot of influence.
The Cold War victory was so short lived one is tempted to call it a loss given the state of Western Europe, Canada and the anglosphere overall shy of the US since the 2024 election.
So while there may not be a win or lose as people use the terms, there is however, the degree of difficulty required to win. The analogy we use mostly is the idea of a person washing dishes who cuts a finger.
If they go and rinse the cut in clean water right away, maybe use an alcohol wipe and put a bandaid on, they will likely forget ever having cut it in a day or so.
If they ignore it and it gets infected, they will have to use a poultice or maybe take antibiotics to clean up the infection.
If they ignore the infection they may get necrosis of the finger and have to have it amputated. The cost, as we can see, keeps growing the longer you choose not to deal with a problem.
If they ignore the necrosis, it becomes an arm and so, and if you wait until the infection is elected the Mayor of New York….
And this will continue. In the analogy of course eventually the patient dies. That is certainly a loss for that individual. But those like minded may take a lesson from him and go wash the finger when it happens to them.
In other words, there is an escalated cost for fighting back as you delay. Which is why communist states such as Canada, Australia and Great Britain go to such lengths to criminalize any effort to raise awareness of the problem that needs to be fought. Islamophobia is becoming an actual crime, but has been a defacto crime for some time, with unofficial state agents like ANTIFA making sure anyone who opposed the growing influence of Islam felt threatened or intimidated.
This has allowed Islamic influence to grow to the point where any real push back will be extremely costly. And that was the point.
The longer you wait to solve a problem, the more draconian the solution must, therefore, be. And so it is with Iran, Communism, Islam, China, and drug cartels. President Trump decided that the cost benefit of taking out the Cartels at this time was still worth it. And as it is in part an existential crisis for the West, he made the right call.
The Cartels are doing unspeakable horrors as a result. This is predictable. But it is still cheaper in the long run than doing nothing. Like losing the necrotic finger to save a hand. But in this case, if done properly, the finger can grow back to restore a healthy society in Mexico and elsewhere.
People may howl at what criminals are doing in Mexico as a result of US actions to defeat the cartels. But this is classic misappropriation, or even dialectic assignation of blame. We see that constantly from the left. The con of “he made me do that by trying to stop me from doing that” rhetorical trick we get from Muslims and Leftists alike who object to our attempts to stop them from obliterating and dominating us.
Anything we do to try and stop them from trying to destroy us, becomes additional justification to destroy us.
So yes, the attack on the cartels will lead to a brief (hopefully) set of terrorist attacks across Mexico which will do harm. Some of it is extraordinarily horrific, such as throwing grenades into grocery stores. But if we compare that to the deaths and destruction of quality of living from their products for many years now across the Western world, even Canadian inner cities, the cost is stunningly small. So small that CNN and CBC and other enemy propaganda outlets will be able to find a victim of Cartel violence somewhere in Mexico and do a 12 part documentary series on them till they are fully George Floyd and have murals all across Mamdani’s New York, while the millions of victims of the drugs they make and import are ignored.
Had this problem been addressed earlier, just to pick an arbitrary date, say before Obama/Holder’s program to give weapons to the cartels via “Fast and Furious”, the chances are the blow back would be less. Either way this had to happen, and it is great that it did. Let’s hope there is real policy changes and serious enforcement that stops all agencies who are bringing in deadly and addictive drugs to the people of Western cultures that end the practice and punish the perps.
Manufacturing, importing, and pushing these drugs is an act of war. Seeing it that way is awareness. Not hyperbole.
Take a trip to many inner cities and look around. Look at the wasted lives and manpower and costs to sustain it. In Canada, the Trudeau government legalized a lot of these drugs and in some provinces, all of them. In Ottawa, drugs that are still illegal, like psilocybin mushrooms have store fronts on main streets operating in the open, despite being an illegal substance!
Going back to Johnny U’s posted video about the hockey game last night, Canada Vs.USA may make one contemplate the nature of patriotism in Canada, as the video is such an excellent display of authentic patriotism and shows its value in terms of the win.
Canada appears to have created a dialectical form of patriotism. The Carney, ‘Elbows Up’ patriotism which is actually an intersectional line of attack on patriotism itself. Which is remarkably consistent with so many lines of operation within Canada, where the name of the thing is actually an attack on the thing named, not an attempt to improve it. Stats, Canada, Health Canada, (each of which have been dealt with in previous posts) Multiculturalism (the effort to destroy all cultures using one against the other) feminism, an attack against women and the family disguised as empowering women. ‘Trans-affirming care’, spay and neuter clinics for kids disguised as affirming rights for ‘trans-people’. ‘Reproductive health’ for killing babies before they are born etc. etc. ad nauseam.
Elbows up patriotism was created to foment hatred against Trump.
This is because Trump is actually restoring the United States as an actual republic. And that will not be tolerated by the COMINTERN. It also gives Carney energy to continue to destroy the relationship with the US and make Canada into part of the new COMINTERN along with the Western European nations and Australia which are succumbing to authoritarian government.
Elbows up is an intersectional line of attack against any form of nationalism, disguised as patriotism.
Which is why you see the exact same people and organizations parading around with Canadian flags and a sanctimonious expression who did everything they could to destroy genuine patriots during the Freedom Convoy and for that matter, the entire set of years of Covid measures. Canadian official patriotism is about chest-puffing support of open borders, Native land claims, taking vast amounts of experimental gene therapy injections, never questioning narratives, and listening to CBC. Canadian official patriotism is about celebrating the deracination of Canada. Not what made it great, but what destroys it.
The current use of Patriotism, the ‘Elbows Up’ variety, is what makes it dialectical patriotism. The Freedom Convoy patriots were about actual Canadian values,. laws and rights as they have always been in Canada, and which were removed by the Carney/Trudeau regime.
And if you misread that as ‘diabolical patriotism’, you are forgiven in advance.
Trump assists Mexico in reducing the power of narco-terrorists in major action against its leadership
I have a lot to post, but for the moment, we’ll just discuss Trump’s new move to fix the world.
The Mexican drug cartels are a geopolitical threat and have been for a long time. Obama and Holder’s plan to give them tons of guns with Fast and Furious did not seem to help the situation. At least not the situation of everyone else. It probably helped the Cartels a lot though.
So it looks like Trump managed to take a serious bite out of the cartels while everyone is looking at Iran.
The Bureau has a good write up here.
A dawn raid in the Jalisco highlands has eliminated the most wanted narco-terrorist in the Western Hemisphere. President Sheinbaum: “We must remain informed and calm.”
JALISCO — Mexican Special Forces killed Nemesio Rubén Oseguera Cervantes — “El Mencho” — during a raid in Tapalpa, Jalisco Sunday morning. He was wounded in the firefight and died while being airlifted to Mexico City, the Defense Ministry confirmed, decapitating what had become the most violent criminal organization in the Americas, and a major source of the fentanyl flooding North America.
President Claudia Sheinbaum posted to X at 4:22 PM, pledging the full weight of the Mexican state behind her response to the spreading violence. Acknowledging “various blockades and other reactions” triggered by the operation, she insisted there was “absolute coordination with the governments of all states” and that across “the vast majority of the national territory, activities are proceeding with complete normality.”
That normality was hard to find on the ground. Violence rippled across southwestern Mexico as criminal groups erected flaming roadblocks in Jalisco, Michoacán, and Guanajuato, triggering shootouts with security forces and reported explosions, according to Canada’s official travel advisory for Mexico.
In Puerto Vallarta, authorities issued a shelter-in-place order and suspended all taxi and rideshare services, while travel disruptions mounted — including flight delays and cancellations.
Geopolitical SITREPS USA, Canada, Iran, China
1. China has shipped a massive amount of military gear to Iran. China is Canada’s new “Strategic Partner” and part of the “New. World. Order”.
Speaking of Iran…
2. A couple of statements by US President, Donald Trump about Mark Carney’s Canada
3. USA will recognize Alberta as an independent nation after a successful referendum
4. China is attacking critics of its communist regime within Canada.
Full interview
Venezuela
Now and again, President Trump does something so magnificent, one wants to drop on one’s knees and give thanks unto God.
I have some personal experience in Venezuela from before Chavez took power. It was called The Jewel of South America then. It had social medicine. Was it world class? No. But it wasn’t 3rd world either. Medicine was cheap and mostly available without a prescription, for good or for bad. Not narcotics, but antibiotics and many many other medicines, . All very affordable. Granted there is economy of scale. What was cheap for a Canadian can still be felt by a local.
There was a lot of freedom in Vz. Freedom of speech, and profound love and appreciation for the arts, Even subversive arts as well as classical and pop. They had a music culture., They had a food culture.
They were also as honest as the day was long.
There was a rational system of distribution of wealth. This doesn’t mean there were not areas of crushing poverty. In hot countries, living in ways unfathomable to Canadians is possible, so it happens. But each individual could still choose to carve a path for themselves, even if their circumstances were not equitable. Because all the people of the world can never be equitable. Just equal for opportunity to the best of your own ability in the ideal.
It was not a paradise for all, but once Chavez took over, it was a hell for all. Just like Communist countries always are.
The streets were also relatively safe, and many cities and areas were beautiful. Most notably in my experience, Merida up in the Andes on the Columbian border.
Within months of the election of Hugo Chavez, people were eating their pets. Their neighbour’s pets, and the zoos were emptied to make food from the exhibits.
People had to weigh money on scales to buy things at grocery stores thanks to the communist tactic of creating hyper inflation.
Here is an interview I did with a Venezuelan member of a farming family back in 2016, who had escaped to Canada. We did the interview in Ottawa. Personally from news reports I saw, I tend to think he understated the issues. Either way, its not a bad snapshot of how the communists destroyed the entire food chain from farm to table through the usual communist methodology, Taker the farms away from the people who actually know how to farm and want to dio it, give the farms to uneducated party apparatchiks who then grow a year’s worth of Marijuana, then abandon the farm after selling off all the valuable equipment. If I am not mistaken, this is also exactly what happened in Rhodesia when it became Communist Zimbabwe. From breadbasket of Africa to desolate famine hellhole. This is often mistaken for corruption.
I say mistaken because as I am listening through the audiobook of the Gulag Archipelago again, we see the pattern so clearly, and codified in laws and procedures, that its clearly not corruption but part of the process of destruction of the entire system of individualism, free market existence, and of reason itself. Anyone wishing to give it a try, this appears to be a link on YouTube to the entire book in 7 parts.
And like Orwell’s 1984, it is one of those books you keep wanting to stop and make notes. Especially when you come to the parts where they are talking about specific tactics and legislation that mirror what is taking place in Canada right now, and for the purpose of the total disenfranchisement of the peasants, vassals, nobles and all the medieval categories that communists recreate under the rubrics of Party Elites, The People, Kulaks, Party members and so on. The fake destruction of classes by creating the same old system of classes.
But up to now, we have only scratched the surface of how the removal of Maduro and the implementation of a new regime in Venezuela is an act of unequaled compassion to the people of Venezuela. I have often thought that a single soldier doing his duty at the right time and place can save more lives than a thousand doctors doing overtime for years on end. And this is one of those cases. The lives saved and suffering reduced of the people of Venezuela by this military action of the USA under Donald Trump is hard to quantify, but it is of a global scale.
But then there is the military component and the Casus Belli for the Untied States.
Another famous book, The Art of War, written by Sun Tsu in the 5th century BC, details how if one wishes to win a war, it is best to not let the enemy know you are at war with them.
Americans have created the largest military in the history of the world. No country can, using conventional means, defeat the USA militarily But this doesn’t mean the US doesn’t have enemies, or that they aren’t attacking the United States. Instead, they have to resort to tactics that the US people would not recognize as military in nature, and so would not accept their government using a military response.
Communist and Islamic subversion are clear as day examples of warfare that is not something that would make a best selling Hollywood film. .
The fact that New York elected a communist and Islamic mayor who declared January Islamic something something month and lit up all the buildings in green INCLUDING THE WORLD TRADE CENTRE is stunning proof that in the city in which the 911 attacks killed thousands in an act of Islamic terror, they could then achieve total political control tells you exactly how that works.
But so is importing and distributing a drug that from March 2023 to March 2024, killed 77,648 people. The Vietnam war lasted 20 years and had 58,220 American deaths. Murdering vast sums of people and demoralizing countless more are acts of war.
But in this case, unlike conventional war, the Venezuelan communist state actually profited by it instead of having to fund it. A new level of cynicism.
Venezuela was clearly at war with the United States. It was acting as an ally of Iran, which was also at war with the United States. And if his allies don’t kill him before his trial or if he doesn’t get placed in Jeffery Epstein’s cell, we may well find out who Maduro’s other allies are in its war with the United States. I doubt I would be surprised to find it was the Clintons and the Democrat Socialists of America (DSA) if not the Democrat party itself.
To be clear, The USA had a Casus Belli for this action that is without question legitimate. And even if not legitimate, necessary.
As a response to war by Venezuela.
As a means to free its people from the suffering caused by communism.
As a means to gather and publish intel on the other enemies of the USA and keep its own people safe, as well as prevent the total collapse of the Republic which appeared to be imminent during the Biden years and as the election of Mandami in New York shows us, is still not a distant possibility.
Understanding that war is attempting to destroy your enemy in order to impose your own authority, or merely just to destroy your enemy needs to be more widely understood. The taxonomy of war as something limited to kinetics is a huge part of the reason all Western nations are on the precipice of tyranny and destruction. And some, like the UK, have gone over the edge with barely a shot fired. A few stabbings, a couple of busses blown up and the rest was done with dialectics and subversion. Subversion itself of course, being a form of dialectics.
Watch this presser very carefully. Each word was very deliberate. And there are messages there to future actions. It is also cleanly stated that they captured and renditioned/extradited Maduro for trial in the USA.
Venezuelans, as one would hope, are celebrating in the streets. This should give you gooseflesh.
This reveals a lot. While actual Venezuelans who had to suffer under Maduro and Chavez’s communism are celebrating all day in the streets, Communists in the USA are demanding his release on Times Square
The real people of Vz:
Vice News clip in 7 parts on a North Korean Gulag in Siberia
This is just really great watching.
BTW: The Gulag Archipelago as an audio book is usually available free, or for pennies on Audible in 3 parts. It is a hell of an undertaking to listen through it. I only made it to maybe 15% into the second volume. But it was worth it. Great for dog walks or housework if you want to understand communism in practice.
One observation after watching parts 3 and 4. The Russians who were placed in Gulags knew they were prisoners and slaves, even if they had no idea why. Many if not most after all, where taken away to Gulags on a quota system and one town if memory serves had nearly half the population taken away.
But in the North Korean Gulags, the people’s sense of patriotism is what is keeping them in chains. At least according to the guard at the gate. “They do not run away because that would be a betrayal.” I think the model being built around the Anglosphere is more similar to that one. Loyalty to state narratives about global warming and anti-racism is what prevents people from rebelling pianist their own utter and total destruction, even as a memory of what we all once were.
In part VI you can feel how palpably afraid one of the NORK forest ‘workers’ are when asked an honest question about why he was there. He simply answered with what “he should not say”.
Granted we are not to scale anywhere near the amplitude of this kind of self censorship yet in Canada. But increasingly conversations between strangers contain more and more samizdat whether the speakers realize that formally or not.
Fear of consequence for saying things that are obviously true is becoming normalized in Canada, while the opposite is being normalized in the USA.
What happens in Medina doesn’t stay in Medina
The video below needs to be understood for what it is, and not how it might appear to people who grew up in free nation states, regardless of what they may be now.
When a sermon is given in the grand mosque of Medina, it is a reflection of Saudi policy. Nothing is ever said there, that is not in perfect alignment with national policy. One could say perhaps, doubly so for Friday sermons, the most important one of the week for Muslims.
Watching this excerpt from a Friday sermon of December 12, 2025 should make one question how seriously the Saudis are abut the Abraham Accords.
Special thanks to Dr. Andrew Bostom for finding this clip.
Silver is set to change the way all markets work, and start a catastrophic cascade across all commodities
There are many videos posted on this site and especially in the comments about how the economy is working,. or various metrics that indicate the health or the genuine actual mechanisms of the economy which are as occulted as everything else pretty much,
Personally I like this video because it states simple verifiable facts, and builds a model that is easy to follow and makes a lot of sense. But it also reflects a lot which we have heard from our site experts over the years as well, but now packaged in a way that gives a trajectory, leading to an outcome.
If anyone can correct the video on some of the facts or reasoning please don’t hesitate to do so in the comments. Anything really good we’ll move up into the post.
As of 2:40 PM December 24, 2025:
Here’s the most current spot price information available for silver related to the Shanghai market, as close to real-time as public data generally allows:
? Shanghai Silver Price (converted to USD per troy ounce) – ~Dec 24, 2025
Silver price on the Shanghai Gold Exchange (SGE) converted into U.S. dollars per troy ounce is approximately:
**? ~ $78.55 USD/oz (this reflects Shanghai trading pricing, which can include local premiums)
GoldSilver.ai
Kitko Spot price: $71.85 USD
UPDATE: While the central thesis of this video is correct, there ARE mitigating factors. I will post Chat GPT’s analysis of the text of the video shortly. So while this video raises real points of concern, he may have overweighted the importance of the difference in the prices East Vs. West. The Eastern markets are not true free markets. Therefore are not always in alignment.
UPDATE 2:
As of 8:00 AM ET December 25th, the SGE, (Chinese exchange used as the basis for the video above) has actually gone down a dollar or so, (depending on how you do the exchange rate to USD) BELOW the COMEX. This tends to negate a large part of the argument in the video.
I sent the full text of the video to ChatGPT for analysis. It was interesting but not worth putting here in total. However today’s change in the relative pricing seemed interesting enough to ask GPT how it affects the argument he makes overall about Silver and the state of commodities. here is the answer in full.
How much of his argument depends on SGE > COMEX?
1. Structural argument (still intact)
Most of his analysis rests on mechanism, not on yesterday’s number:
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SGE represents physical settlement pressure
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COMEX represents paper leverage
-
Arbitrage between the two is not frictionless
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Capital controls, delivery constraints, and contract structure delay equalization
That logic does not require SGE to always trade at a premium.
It only requires that persistent divergence is possible — which history clearly supports.
? This part still holds.
2. Signal argument (temporarily weakened)
Where the reversal does matter is here:
“The SGE premium proves physical stress is intensifying right now.”
That claim depends on:
-
SGE staying meaningfully above COMEX
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The spread being stable or widening
With the spread flipping from +7 USD ? ~-1 USD in ~24 hours:
-
That specific stress signal is no longer confirmed
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It now looks more like short-term inventory or flow normalization, not escalation
?? This undermines the immediacy, not the theory.
3. Equalization mechanism — still the key insight
Ironically, the reversal actually demonstrates one of his central points:
-
Equalization does happen
-
But it happens episodically, not smoothly
-
And it often overshoots or snaps back
A fast reversal suggests:
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Metal was mobilized
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Or paper pressure temporarily dominated
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Or Chinese demand paused (holiday / liquidity / margin effects)
None of that contradicts his framework — it just shows the system breathing.
Bottom line judgment
If we were grading the argument:
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Core thesis: ? Still solid
-
Mechanics of divergence: ? Still valid
-
Claim of current physical stress: ?? Weakened
-
Predictive certainty / timeline: ? Overconfident
If this were your write-up, the correct framing would be:
“The SGE–COMEX spread is volatile and episodic; its temporary reversal does not refute the physical-paper divergence thesis, but it does caution against treating short-term premiums as linear indicators of systemic stress.”
That’s a stronger, more defensible position.
Rumours mount that Russia is islamizing itself
We did this story around December 5 this year:
And now a reader placed this link into the comments under today’s Reader’s Links post:
Is the course towards Islamization of Russia the official doctrine?
On December 10, Human Rights Council (HRC) member Kirill Kabanov made a statement that shocked many: the desire to make Russia part of the Islamic world (which it never was) and Islamize it is not a plot by some “fifth column,” as some bloggers like to claim, but a truly purposeful and deliberate policy. In fact, this author has already spoken about this many times, noting that this policy is called a “pivot to the East.” Here’s what he has to say about it. wrote Kirill Kabanov:
Yesterday I had a very important conversation about how, in my opponent’s opinion, the national idea of ??Russia and historical approach to the formation of statehood in our country. It turns out, based on the position expressed, everything is very simple:First, we simply need to officially acknowledge that Russia emerged from the Islamic world and emerged as an integral part of it.
Second, we must accept that Russians do not exist as a nation (we’ve heard this before, and more than once), but rather as a subset of the Turkic peoples. That’s all there is to it.
All of this was told to me by someone who has a truly significant influence on the country’s political processes. And no, this isn’t the ramblings of a madman. This is a doctrine, already formalized in an official document, actively promoted as a national idea and backed by powerful lobbyists.
Interestingly, this was written after Kirill Kabanov, during a meeting of the Council for the Development of Civil Society and Human Rights the previous day on the Rossiya 1 television channel, appealed to Russian President Vladimir Putin with a proposal to revise the program for the voluntary resettlement of compatriots from abroad. He believed that the program for facilitating the voluntary resettlement of compatriots had devolved into a “migration of peoples” from Central Asia to Russia.
[Read the rest at the link please]
We certainly have heard this exact kind of dialectic sophistry before though. And about nearly everywhere. No where has a right to exist as a sovereign state because of [reasons] and no people are legitimate except whoever the COMINTERN brings to your country and gives them power over you. And if not power, certainly advantage.
North America is being dismantled by the “colonialist-Turtle Island” dialectic and various European nations are being told they have no authentic culture either. If you believe Netflix, Scottish Royalty were Africans.
Putin appears to have embarked on the same path as Western nations.
This looks like a giant problem for everyone. But it certainly makes sense of the arrest of the Russian girl in the video above for opposing a Mega-Mosque being built in a small town entirely for Imported Muslims.
Rutte, the BBC and World War III: an attempt at analysis of Rutte and BBC jingoism from December 11 in Berlin
Everyone will have lots to say about this. We don’t yet. We may use a multi-pronged spectrum with which to evaluate this statement by former Dutch PM and current head of NATO in Europe once there is more information about Mark Rutte’s speech as seen below. (Albeit paraphrased as the speech was not public but in a closed event from yesterday’s Munich Security Conference offshoot in Berlin. But clips are circulating)
Below an actual segment of his talk:
This BBC analysis of his talk has some wonderful jingoism:
Russia could attack a Nato country within the next five years, the Western military alliance’s chief has said in a stark new warning.
“Russia is already escalating its covert campaign against our societies,” Mark Rutte said in a speech in Germany. “We must be prepared for the scale of war our grandparents or great-grandparents endured.”
He echoed similar statements about Russia’s intentions made by Western intelligence agencies, which Moscow dismisses as hysteria.
Rutte’s warning comes as US President Donald Trump tries to bring an end to Russia’s full-scale invasion of Ukraine, launched in February 2022.
Earlier this month, Russia’s President Vladimir Putin said his country was not planning to go to war with Europe, but it was ready “right now” if Europe wanted to – or started a war.
But similar reassurances were given by Moscow in 2022, just before 200,000 Russian troops crossed the border and invaded Ukraine.
Putin has accused European countries of hindering US efforts to bring peace in Ukraine – a reference to the role Ukraine’s European allies have recently played in trying to change a US peace plan to end the war, whose initial draft was seen as favouring Russia.
But Putin was not sincere, Nato’s secretary-general said in the German capital, Berlin.
Supporting Ukraine, he added, was a guarantee for European security.
“Just imagine if Putin got his way; Ukraine under the boot of Russian occupation, his forces pressing against a longer border with Nato, and the significantly increased risk of an armed attack against us.”
The BBC article gets way more intense after that. Its essentially the scene from Gone with the Wind when Rhett Butler tries to explain to the Gentlemen of the South, that the North has cannon factories and munitions factories and the South as a code of honour and some swords. So is Rutte’s pitch Face value” Or a narrative attack? Or a pitch for funding and power for NATO? I dunno yet.
One arm of one vector of analysis might be the UFO/UAP/Alien attack narrative that has appeared a couple of times on MSM US media such as 60 Minutes, and alleged counter-media such as Tucker Carlson. In other words, it is a grand cover to justify massive power gabs and reductions of human rights and individualism overall in Europe, or, it might be a face value threat of a grand scale war with a Nuclear power who will, if cornered, use them.
But there are other vectors as well. And I don’t know them yet. So wait and see. But taking it at face value seems to be the lowest probability answer, if not for the intended warnings, certainly for the reason these actions will be taken, if they are. This also may explain the sudden rise in the price of precious metals on top of other things like QE (Quantitative Easing) back in play in the USA.
But listening to that short clip of him directly, it could be interpreted as merely stumping for money and authority. ‘His organization is important and needs full power to recruit and equip’ in other words. Which would actually fall under the banal. Russia is where his 2 minutes of hate is directed, and everyone in Europe has to get ready to sacrifice their rights and quality of living to stand up to that threat. My guess is that would be where the ball is circling and ready to drop.
As we often do, we note that 1984 seems to have a pretty good description of the difference between wars as we knew them, and wars as they are and will be under a communist state:
In past ages, a war, almost by definition, was something that sooner or
later came to an end, usually in unmistakable victory or defeat. In the
past, also, war was one of the main instruments by which human societies
were kept in touch with physical reality. All rulers in all ages have tried
to impose a false view of the world upon their followers, but they could
not afford to encourage any illusion that tended to impair military
efficiency. So long as defeat meant the loss of independence, or some other
result generally held to be undesirable, the precautions against defeat
had to be serious. Physical facts could not be ignored. In philosophy, or
religion, or ethics, or politics, two and two might make five, but when
one was designing a gun or an aeroplane they had to make four. Inefficient
nations were always conquered sooner or later, and the struggle for
efficiency was inimical to illusions. Moreover, to be efficient it was
necessary to be able to learn from the past, which meant having a fairly
accurate idea of what had happened in the past. Newspapers and history
books were, of course, always coloured and biased, but falsification of
the kind that is practised today would have been impossible. War was a
sure safeguard of sanity, and so far as the ruling classes were concerned
it was probably the most important of all safeguards. While wars could be
won or lost, no ruling class could be completely irresponsible.
But when war becomes literally continuous, it also ceases to be dangerous.
When war is continuous there is no such thing as military necessity.
Technical progress can cease and the most palpable facts can be denied or
disregarded. As we have seen, researches that could be called scientific
are still carried out for the purposes of war, but they are essentially a
kind of daydreaming, and their failure to show results is not important.
Efficiency, even military efficiency, is no longer needed. Nothing is
efficient in Oceania except the Thought Police. Since each of the three
super-states is unconquerable, each is in effect a separate universe within
which almost any perversion of thought can be safely practised. Reality
only exerts its pressure through the needs of everyday life–the need to
eat and drink, to get shelter and clothing, to avoid swallowing poison or
stepping out of top-storey windows, and the like. Between life and death,
and between physical pleasure and physical pain, there is still a
distinction, but that is all. Cut off from contact with the outer world,
and with the past, the citizen of Oceania is like a man in interstellar
space, who has no way of knowing which direction is up and which is down.
The rulers of such a state are absolute, as the Pharaohs or the Caesars
could not be. They are obliged to prevent their followers from starving
to death in numbers large enough to be inconvenient, and they are obliged
to remain at the same low level of military technique as their rivals; but
once that minimum is achieved, they can twist reality into whatever shape
they choose.
The war, therefore, if we judge it by the standards of previous wars, is
merely an imposture. It is like the battles between certain ruminant
animals whose horns are set at such an angle that they are incapable of
hurting one another. But though it is unreal it is not meaningless. It
eats up the surplus of consumable goods, and it helps to preserve the
special mental atmosphere that a hierarchical society needs. War, it will
be seen, is now a purely internal affair. In the past, the ruling groups
of all countries, although they might recognize their common interest and
therefore limit the destructiveness of war, did fight against one another,
and the victor always plundered the vanquished. In our own day they are
not fighting against one another at all.
The war is waged by each ruling
group against its own subjects, and the object of the war is not to make
or prevent conquests of territory, but to keep the structure of society
intact. The very word ‘war’, therefore, has become misleading. It would
probably be accurate to say that by becoming continuous war has ceased to
exist. The peculiar pressure that it exerted on human beings between the
Neolithic Age and the early twentieth century has disappeared and been
replaced by something quite different. The effect would be much the same
if the three super-states, instead of fighting one another, should agree
to live in perpetual peace, each inviolate within its own boundaries. For
in that case each would still be a self-contained universe, freed for ever
from the sobering influence of external danger. A peace that was truly
permanent would be the same as a permanent war. This–although the vast
majority of Party members understand it only in a shallower sense–is the
inner meaning of the Party slogan: WAR IS PEACE.
[Bold is mine, although frankly the entire segment should be read till understood.]
We are not saying the above is exactly what is going on with Rutte and NATO. But it is a vector of consideration. It makes more sense than that Russia, who is in no need of Lebensraum, and in fact, kinda the opposite. They need more people for the room they already have, would attack the rest of Europe to take its territory. Viktor Orban describes the conflict with Ukraine as a regional and fraternal battle that the West under normal circumstances would ignore. Considering the West is in fact ignoring at least a couple of dozen of other wars, with far more heinous reasons and actions, Orban’s view deserves thought.






