Another worthy Tucker clip on obedience to irrational authority
Category Archives: Wuhan Flu-Corona 2019
Brad Johnson: The relationship between the state and the people changing due to Covid 19?
Hospitals are WAR ZONES
https://twitter.com/DVATW/status/1254137492263120896
Models Vs. reality, light Vs drugs: Links 2 for April 24, 2020
1. Michigan residents gather around the Governor’s mansion to protest the draconian stay-at-home orders
2. Wisconsin protests
3. The call to prayer blasts over parts of Minnesota to “provide a measure of stability for the muslim community”. If that was even marginally true Afghanistan would be the most stable place on Earth.
4. The UN, the people who brought you the models that shut down the entire freaking developed world, now has new models predicting a catastrophe of global famine.
(If recent history is an example it means the UN is planning to cause one)
5. Comparing the models to the actual data
6. Lock down in Jalalabad Afghanistan
(I suppose we should thank them for providing a perfect petri dish so we can earn if lock downs do anything at all)
Thank you Tania Gaw, M., Wrath of Khan, Richard, ML., PePi, Xanthippa and all who sent in materials to the Reader’s Links this week.
See now the problem is the lack of people at hospitals. That is the new health crisis. No one is going to hospital
We can blame the MSM for this squarely. They actually used faked footage to misrepresent what is going on at hospitals. We can also blame the WHO for causing us to re-task the entire health care system for what increasingly looks like a more contagious flu.
Treating the flu with UV light
Retired gentleman fined $880.00 for walking his dog and meeting no one
I hope this man runs for office.
German women told they have to wear a mask to go shopping
https://twitter.com/BlackDo04913777/status/1253739730224787456
One person’s analysis on the methods of determining Covid 19 deaths
It is getting to the point where in order to avoid the Neo-Corporate/communist destruction of individualism altogether we have to be damn experts on everything.
No idea if this guy is correct or not. There are medical experts who I hope will detail his rant, and contradict him where it’s needed. But given the amount of BS we are fed about this disease and its effects, it is difficult not to at least give him the benefit of the doubt.
Thank you MissPiggy
Interview with Swedish Doctor on Swedish government instructions for ‘treatment’ for the elderly.
This is a horrifying story. Buckle up for this one.
Computing Forever as usual, makes a lot of sense in analysis of the value of lock downs. Which is nearly nil
Apparently Israel is reopening Sunday but suggested that the vulnerable amongst the population remain sequestered. This makes more sense the isolating the entire population.
A look at the current statistics suggest a new policy direction should be implemented.
The following article was sent in by a reader of this site, from a source known to them.
Thank you for the submission. The author however wishes to be anonymous. The author does however, have interesting credentials in data analysis.
Results are beginning to be reported from the trenches that show that the severity of the Chinese flu is dramatically less than has been assumed up to now. Mortality rate and transmission rate estimates were based on confirmed cases, because those were the only numbers we had. Now, however, we are seeing epidemiological, serological, and clinical results that tell a very, very different story. In particular:
1) The actual number of infections is much higher the number of confirmed cases. Perhaps as much as 85 times higher! The vast majority of infections are too mild to differentiate from ordinary flu.
2) Mortality is very strongly correlated with 4 specific pre-existing pathologies, which are themselves correlated with age. Those conditions are diabesity, hypertension, emphysema, and immunodeficiency.
3) The virus forms an aerosol that remains infectious for as much as 16 hours.
Up to now, policy has been based on the CFR (Case Fatality Rate) and Ro (Basic Reproduction Number). Now, however, we have enough data to calculate IFR (Infection Fatality Rate) and Re (Effective Reproduction Number).
The IFR is easy: if there are, say, 50 times more infections than cases, then the infection fatality rate is 50 times less than case fatality rate.
The Re requires a lot of exponential curve fitting to noisy data. However, qualitative reasoning is sufficient for now. If the virus floats around in the air for 16 hours, then everyone in a given store or office is exposed if anyone is. Why? Because modern buildings recirculate about 95% of the air to save heating/cooling costs. Therefore, the Re is higher than Ro by a large factor.
In other words, the Chinese flu is a rather weak virus that spreads very rapidly. Because it is weak, quarantines are not warranted. Because it spreads rapidly, social distancing accomplishes nothing. This explains the results of Isaac Ben-Israel, showing that the Chinese flu follows about the same time-course in all countries, regardless of measures taken to combat it. The presence or absence of attempts to flatten the curve makes no difference whatsoever.
QUARANTINE IS UNNECESSARY. LOCKDOWN IS USELESS. END THEM NOW.
Below, I have summarized some relevant references and highlighted the pertinent findings in bold:
Bendavid et al., 2020: COVID-19 antibody seroprevalence in Santa Clara County, California. medRxiv preprint, April 2020. doi:10.1101/2020.04.14.20062463.
https://www.medrxiv.org/content/10.1101/2020.04.14.20062463v1
Background: Addressing COVID-19 is a pressing health and social concern. To date, many epidemic projections and policies addressing COVID-19 have been designed without seroprevalence data to inform epidemic parameters. We measured the seroprevalence of antibodies to SARS-CoV-2 in Santa Clara County.
Methods: On 4/3-4/4, 2020, we tested county residents for antibodies to SARS-CoV-2 using a lateral flow immunoassay. Participants were recruited using Facebook ads targeting a representative sample of the county by demographic and geographic characteristics. We report the prevalence of antibodies to SARS-CoV-2 in a sample of 3,330 people, adjusting for zip code, sex, and race/ethnicity. We also adjust for test performance characteristics using 3 different estimates: (i) the test manufacturer’s data, (ii) a sample of 37 positive and 30 negative controls tested at Stanford, and (iii) a combination of both.
Results: The unadjusted prevalence of antibodies to SARS-CoV-2 in Santa Clara County was 1.5% (exact binomial 95CI 1.11-1.97%), and the population-weighted prevalence was 2.81% (95CI 2.24-3.37%). Under the three scenarios for test performance characteristics, the population prevalence of COVID-19 in Santa Clara ranged from 2.49% (95CI 1.80-3.17%) to 4.16% (2.58-5.70%). These prevalence estimates represent a range between 48,000 and 81,000 people infected in Santa Clara County by early April, 50-85-fold more than the number of confirmed cases.
Conclusions: The population prevalence of SARS-CoV-2 antibodies in Santa Clara County implies that the infection is much more widespread than indicated by the number of confirmed cases. Population prevalence estimates can now be used to calibrate epidemic and mortality projections.
Early Results of Antibody Testing Suggest Number of COVID-19 Infections Far Exceeds Number of Confirmed Cases in Los Angeles County
http://www.publichealth.lacounty.gov/phcommon/public/media/mediapubhpdetail.cfm?prid=2328
Based on results of the first round of testing, the research team estimates that approximately 4.1% of the county’s adult population has antibody to the virus. Adjusting this estimate for statistical margin of error implies about 2.8% to 5.6% of the county’s adult population has antibody to the virus- which translates to approximately 221,000 to 442,000 adults in the county who have had the infection. That estimate is 28 to 55 times higher than the 7,994 confirmed cases of COVID-19 reported to the county by the time of the study in early April.
Mortality should probably be counted per thousand: Danish blood tests shed new light on the coronavirus
Danish original:
https://www.dr.dk/nyheder/indland/doedelighed-skal-formentlig-taelles-i-promiller-danske-blodproever-kaster-nyt-lys
via Google Translate:
https://translate.google.ca/translate?hl=en&tab=TT&sl=auto&tl=en&u=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.dr.dk%2Fnyheder%2Findland%2Fdoedelighed-skal-formentlig-taelles-i-promiller-danske-blodproever-kaster-nyt-lys
Preliminary results from antibody testing must be taken with a number of caveats, the professor emphasizes.
Tests from 1,487 Danish blood donors may help shed new light on how deadly coronavirus really is.
The World Health Organization, WHO, has estimated that the figure is around one to three percent. But it may turn out to be high, according to calculations made at the Danish State Hospital.
– We arrive at a much lower figure of 1.6 per thousand.
So if we have 1,000 Danes who have had this infection, there are one to two who have died with it, says Henrik Ullum, a Chief Physician and professor at the Danish State Hospital.
Antibodies are formed when an infection with the virus is over. And it turns out that 22 of the 1,487 blood donors have formed antibodies. However, there have been cases where the test has failed to capture that the donors have been tested positive for coronavirus in the past.
– If we adjust for the test to not work perfectly and assume that the blood donors are representative of the entire population, it is equivalent to 127,000 people in Denmark having been infected.
Thus, when 203 Danes are declared dead today with coronavirus, it gives a mortality of 0.16 percent – or 1.6 per thousand.
But blood donors are not representative of the entire population because they are generally healthier than the total population.
– Therefore, the actual number infected throughout the Danish population may well be greater, says Henrik Ullum, who emphasizes that the figures are preliminary and must be read with caution.
“In Hamburg no one has died of corona without prior illness”
German original:
https://www.welt.de/regionales/hamburg/article207086675/Rechtsmediziner-Pueschel-In-Hamburg-ist-niemand-ohne-Vorerkrankung-an-Corona-gestorben.html
The renowned Hamburg medical examiner Klaus Püschel considers the fear of Corona to be exaggerated. He and his team autopsied the dead in Hamburg, and he found that the virus was only the last drop in these cases.
The Hamburg medical examiner Klaus Püschel and his team examine the corona victims in the Hanseatic city, and he considers the fear of the virus to be excessive. So far, not a single person with no previous illness has died of the virus in Hamburg, says Püschel of the “Hamburger Morgenpost”. “This virus affects our lives in a completely exaggerated way. This bears no relation to the risk posed by the virus,” says the renowned medical examiner. “I am convinced that corona mortality will not even make itself felt as a peak in annual mortality.” There is no reason for fear of death in connection with the spread of the disease in the Hamburg region.
“Everyone we’ve examined so far has had cancer, chronic lung disease, heavy smokers, obese people, diabetes, or cardiovascular disease.” In these cases, the virus was the last drop that made the barrel overflow. His team had just examined the body of the first 100-year-old who died with Covid-19. Here it was the very last drop.
The concern for people is grounded in the fact that the virus spreads very quickly because there is still no immune protection, said the medical examiner. “But we don’t have Italian conditions in Germany. We have a good health system and I am convinced that we can manage the pandemic well.”
Medical experts say Michigan’s coronavirus death count isn’t accurate.
https://www.mlive.com/public-interest/2020/04/medical-experts-say-michigans-coronavirus-death-count-isnt-accurate-but-is-it-too-high-or-too-low.html
At least 2,093 Michiganders have died over the last 30 days, though some more accurately “died with COVID-19” than “died of COVID-19,” according to medical examiners from some of the state’s most populated counties.
“I think a lot of clinicians are putting that condition (COVID-19) on death certificates when it might not be accurate because they died with coronavirus and not of coronavirus,” said Macomb County Chief Medical Examiner Daniel Spitz.
Fears, A C, et al. 2020: Comparative dynamic aerosol efficiencies of three emergent coronaviruses and the unusual persistence of SARS-CoV-2 in aerosol suspensions.medRxiv preprint 2020.04.13.20063784. doi:10.1101/2020.04.13.20063784.
https://www.medrxiv.org/content/10.1101/2020.04.13.20063784v1
The emergent coronavirus, designated severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus-2 (SARS-CoV-2), is a zoonotic pathogen that has demonstrated remarkable transmissibility in the human population and is the etiological agent of a current global pandemic called COVID-19. We measured the dynamic (short-term) aerosol efficiencies of SARS-CoV-2 and compared the efficiencies with two other emerging coronaviruses, SARS-CoV (emerged in 2002) and Middle Eastern respiratory syndrome CoV (MERS-CoV; emerged starting in 2012). We also quantified the long-term persistence of SARS-CoV-2 and its ability to maintain infectivity when suspended in aerosols for up to 16 hours.
Ben-Israel, I, 2020: The end of exponential growth: The decline in the spread of coronavirus
https://www.timesofisrael.com/the-end-of-exponential-growth-the-decline-in-the-spread-of-coronavirus/
A similar pattern – rapid increase in infections to a peak in the sixth week, and decline from the eighth week – is common everywhere, regardless of response policies.
…
Severe lockdown has some negative implications. Its immediate result is an increase in the level of unemployment and the drop in GDP (in Israel, it is estimated that every month of lockdown is reducing the GDP by 8%). This will eventually lead to an increase in poverty and to human life loss due other diseases.
Anon
Some fascinating videos, analysis and stats on the Wuhan Flu and its consequences: Links 1, April 23, 2020
1. CBC Journalist actually laughs at student for wanting to volunteer on a farm to help out during this crisis
(Because what Canada really needs is more supercilious government propagandists, and less food)
2. Chinese Step-up Propaganda and Spying Within the United States
Unfortunately, with each piece of news that seeps out of China creates a new standard of terrible. Whether it’s coronavirus, health and safety regulations, wet markets, trade, medical supplies, or technology, it seems China is nothing but a battle for the United States. However, we are now learning of a more subtle, hidden danger that China is ramping up: espionage.
Fox News reported that “for decades, China has waged an espionage war with the United States, exploiting America’s comparatively open society and free-market economy to steal critical information, trade secrets and technology tools.” We have been aware of certain cases such as the Harvard medical student researchers that were being bankrolled by the Chinese state.
However, the global pandemic which originated in China, means they need to shift strategy. “The primary focus now, according to several current and former intelligence officials interviewed by Fox News, is attempting to control the disease narrative inside the U.S. and cast the blame game anywhere but Beijing.” (Continue at source)
3. Brave man in China attempts to sue Hubei province for Covid coverup.
4. A good comment on Canadian immigration and the Trudeau government agenda and sense of reality as a whole.
https://twitter.com/CC_CRF/status/1253321426687479808
5. More faulty Chinese test kits.
At this point, why do we think we have any clue how many people have this infection?
6. Stephen Coughlin tweet of video of Stanford Doctor who suggests Covid 19 has the same infection rate and mortality rate as seasonal flu.
Part II of the same tweet:
Facebook agreed to censor posts that criticised the Vietnamese government after the country slowed its online traffic to a crawl.
The restrictions, which two unidentified sources told Reuters were carried out by state-owned telecommunications companies, knocked the servers offline for around seven weeks, meaning the website became unusable at times.
‘We believe the action was taken to place significant pressure on us to increase our compliance with legal takedown orders when it comes to content that our users in Vietnam see,’ the first of the two Facebook sources told Reuters.
In an emailed statement, Facebook confirmed it had reluctantly complied with the government’s request to ‘restrict access to content which it has deemed to be illegal’.
(This should constitute proof that anything you see on Facebook is there by the grace of whatever tyrant or oligarch or communist or muslim terrorist or anyone in a position to damage Facebook’s reach will allow. The Trudeau government had hearings in 2019 to try and maneuver FB into compliance with Liberal government policies, and during the Truckers protest in the winter of 2019, Facebook cut off all livestreams and limited access to the accounts of leaders and spokespeople of the protest at the time. This has to have been by request of the Trudeau government. From February 2019)
8. About that new “study” on the use of Hydroxylchloroquine
9. Ontario Nurse questions the whole Corona deaths and numbers narrative
10. German Muslim Leader Demands Government Mosque Bailout
Aiman ??Mazyek, chairman of the Central Council of Muslims, has called on the German government to give aid to mosques struggling financially due to the Chinese coronavirus pandemic.
Mr Mazyek said that many mosques in Germany were facing financial difficulties due to the lockdown measures and that many were on the verge of bankruptcy as they rely on individual donations from worshippers.
“Many mosques are facing bankruptcy because they lived off the collection for Friday prayers. They will soon no longer be able to pay their rents, property loan rates, or their staff,” he told German magazine Der Spiegel in an interview this week.
“Unlike the churches, many of the congregations in Germany are funded to a large extent through the collections. In addition: 30 to almost 50 per cent of this income is generated annually, especially in the Ramadan period,” he added.
Thank you ML., M., Wrath of Khan, Richard, Johnny U., Mr. Helsinki, Hellequin GM., Snaphanen.DK., and all who sent in materials.
Dare we say that a proper perspective is beginning to form? The Ontario nurse who said that the numbers are around the same once you factor in decreased heart and other deaths and increased Wuhan Flu deaths based on altered reporting rules begins to give a clearer picture of what is actually going on.
Anti-lockdown protests, Albany NY
The new progressive Snitch based Canada
American psychiatrist on the 2015 US-China creation of SARS COVID
US and Chinese researchers, funded by the United States and Chinese governments, teamed up to create a deadly new coronavirus that is extremely similar in its effects to the coronavirus that is causing the current pandemic. The research is described in detail in a December 2015 scientific article published in prestigious Nature Medicine.
The article and PDFs of its entire bibliography can be found on www.breggin.com, along with a blog by Dr. Breggin about the implications. In this video, Dr. Breggin describes how the American/Chinese manufactured coronavirus mimicked nearly all aspects of SARS-CoV-2, including pneumonia, increasing lethality in older and/or infirm mice and resistance to treatment. The research also sounds a warning that the manmade 2015 virus was resistant to vaccines.
It is beyond belief that the US has funded a collaboration with China involving the creation of a coronavirus that has all the attributes of a devastating biological weapon. The Chinese were from the now-infamous Wuhan Institute which was known to have two potentially deadly hazards: poor safety measures and direct connections to the Chinese military. NIH, including the Institute for Allergy and Infectious Diseases, continued support for the research even after warnings about its dangers were sounded by the research community.
(Who was president in 2015 again? Oh yeah the guy who borrowed money from CHINA to spread commie propaganda in the Balkans before local elections there)
Thank you MissPiggy
The US-China-Virus connection in part: Links 1, April 19, 2020
1. In 2015, the US made a sizeable donation to the virology lab in Wuhan. To a communist government with totalitarian methods.
(Obama’s ties to China ran quite deep it seems. Didn’t he borrow millions from them to print copies of Rules for Radicals in Balkan languages to influence elections to go to communist parties?)
It is a rare glimpse inside the Chinese laboratory at the centre of mounting inter-national suspicion about the Covid-19 pandemic – and will do nothing to dispel fears that it was caused by a catastrophic leak which has been covered up by Beijing.
Pictures from inside Wuhan’s secretive Institute of Virology show a broken seal on the door of one of the refrigerators used to hold 1,500 different strains of virus – including the bat coronavirus which has jumped to humans with such devastating effect.
The pictures, first released by the state-owned China Daily newspaper in 2018, were published on Twitter last month, before being deleted. One comment attached read: ‘I have seen better seals on my refrigerator in my kitchen.’
The Mail on Sunday revealed a fortnight ago that Ministers now fear that the pandemic could have started as the result of a leak.
Thank you ML., MissPiggy, Don Laird and all who contributed to this site this weekend.
Is there any evidence for a lab-release of the CCP Flu?