FIVE Items on the London attack

1, Fox News feed on the London stabbing and truck jihad attack

2. Man hunt launched for three terrorists as men with ’12in hunting knives stab pedestrians’ after mowing down up to 20 people with a white van amid reports of explosions in third attack in ten weeks

3. Three men with ’12in knives stab pedestrians’ after mowing down up to 20 people – including a police officer – with a white van amid reports of gunfire as bomb squad are scrambled to busy night spot

4. UK bus driver gives account of London Bridge segment of the attack

5. WITNESS saw 3 men stabbing people with knives

 

About Eeyore

Canadian artist and counter-jihad and freedom of speech activist as well as devout Schrödinger's catholic

13 Replies to “FIVE Items on the London attack”

  1. To get the public to vote Labour. Desperate of have Anti-Zionist and pro Muslim Brotherhood in power.

    https://www.google.co.uk/url?sa=t&source=web&rct=j&url=https://econ.upf.edu/~montalvo/wp/restat2011.pdf&ved=0ahUKEwi56Zzb_qLUAhWEjiwKHe7DB_sQFgggMAE&usg=AFQjCNHEhte1SvZkHriy3yMuFlgHSTlhiA&sig2=ZgVfc_NLMuR9YoMxShk3qg
    “Recent papers (for instance, Pape, 2003) show that the
    timing of terrorist activities is not random but corresponds
    to strategic objectives and political conditions. Could ter-
    rorist attacks be timed to alter the result of democratic elections?

    This paper looks at the electoral effect of terrorist
    attacks in Madrid in 2004. One week before the election,
    opinion polls showed a clear advantage for the conservative party. After the terrorist attacks, the socialist party won the congressional election.

    The impact of the bombings generated heated public
    debate. There was also controversy on the scientific front.
    Two papers, using individual data from several postelectoral surveys, have reached opposite conclusions. However, the use of postelectoral surveys could be problematic for analyzing the counterfactual question of what would have happened if the terrorist attacks had not taken place.

    This paper proposes an alternative approach to identifying the impact based on the interpretation of the attacks as a natural experiment, and a difference-in-differences estimator, to evaluate the electoral effect of the March 11, 2004 bombings in Madrid.
    The placebo experiment indicates that the parallel
    trend assumption is not at odds with the data. The calcula-
    tions under the counterfactual of ‘‘no terrorist attacks’’ are in line with polls taken prior to the attacks. The findings are
    robust to the use of alternative estimators and methodologies (like the synthetic control methods).
    The results reject the null hypothesis that the socialist party would have won the election in the absence of the bombings.

    REFERENCES
    ‘‘A Bad Idea, Rejected,’’ New York Times, July 17, 2004.
    Abadie, A., A. Diamond, & J. Hainmueller, ‘‘Synthetic Control Methods
    for Comparative Case Studies: Estimating the Effects of Califor-
    nia’s Tobacco Control Group,’’ Journal of the American Statistical
    Association 105 (2010), 495–505.
    Abadie, A., & J. Gardeazabal, ‘‘The Economic Cost of Conflict: A Case
    Study of the Basque Country,’’ American Economic Review 93
    (2003), 113–132.
    Athey, S., & G. Imbens, ‘‘Identification and Inference in Nonlinear Differ-
    ence-in-Difference Models,’’ Econometrica 74 (2006), 431–497.
    Bali, V., ‘‘Terror and Elections: Lessons from Spain,’’ Electoral Studies
    26 (2007), 669–687.
    Bertrand, M., E. Duflo, & S. Mullainathan, ‘‘How Much Should We Trust
    Differences in Differences Estimates?’’ Quarterly Journal of Eco-
    nomics 119 (2004), 249–275.
    Card, D., ‘‘The Impact of the Mariel Boatlift on the Miami Labor Mar-
    ket,’’ Industrial and Labor Relations Review 44 (1990), 245–257.
    Donald, S., & K. Lang, ‘‘Inference in Difference-in-Differences and Other
    Panel Data,’’ this REVIEW, 89 (2007), 221–233.
    Hansen, C. J. ‘‘Asymptotic Properties of a Robust Variance Matrix Esti-
    mator for Panel Data when T Is Large,’’ Journal of Econometrics
    141 (2007), 597–620.
    Johnston, D., and D. Van Natla, ‘‘The 2004 Campaign: Security,’’ New
    York Times, October 24, 2007.
    Lago, I., and J. R. Montero, ‘‘The Mechanics of Electoral Change,’’
    Claves de la Razo´n Pra´ctica 149 (2005), 36–44.
    Montalvo, J. G., ‘‘Voting after the Bombing: Can Terrorist Attacks
    Change the Outcome of Democratic Elections?’’ Universital Pom-
    peu Fabra working paper 1000 (2006).
    Moulton, B., ‘‘An Illustration of Pitfall in Estimating the Effects of
    Aggregate Variables on Micro Units,’’ this REVIEW 72 (1990), 334–
    338.
    Pape, R., ‘‘The Strategic Logic of Suicide Terrorism,’’ American Political
    Science Review 97 (2003), 343–361.
    Torcal, M., and G. Rico, ‘‘The Spanish General Election: In the Shadow
    of Al-Qaeda,’’ Southern European Society and Politics 9 (2004),
    107–121.
    Wand, J., K. Shotts, J. Sekhon, W. Mebane, M. Herron, and H. Brady,
    ‘‘The Butterfly Did It: The Aberrant vote for Buchanan in Palm
    Beach County, Florida,’’ American Political Science Review 95

    • Makes great sense.

      I don’t know about most people, but my first thought was not how many people killed or injured but rather the impact on the upcoming election.
      It does not bode well for May since it was her that allowed these people in the U.K. She was very lenient on Islamists and harsh on ‘Islamophobes’.

      Let’s not forget that London is now 50% Muslim and ruled by a Muslim mayor. London carries great weight in the election process and is the ideal target for a targeted (Infidel) Islamic attack.

    • Calculating the Politics of Catastrophe
      http://www.informationclearinghouse.info/article6257.htm

      05/02/04 “New York Times” WASHINGTON – It is the nightmarish, unpredictable event that both the Bush and Kerry campaigns obsess about in private, yet rarely discuss in public. How would another terror attack before the presidential election, even one that proves a pale shadow of Sept. 11, affect the way voters view the president or his challenger?

      It is an unanswerable question, of course, which naturally makes it ripe for endless Washington dinner-party talk. It is probably too speculative for serious polling. Yet that does not mean the planning has not started. Mr. Bush has begun to talk about the possibility in public, perhaps to brace the country for the worst, perhaps to begin the political inoculation if domestic defenses fail.
      […]
      Unpreventable attacks, the theory goes, could have limited political effect. Suicide bombings in a mall or on a train, Madrid style, could fall in this category. But a more spectacular attack that voters viewed as exploiting a vulnerability that Washington said it was fixing – say, an explosive device aboard a freighter headed into San Francisco Bay, or a dirty bomb that evades nuclear detectors in New York or Washington – could prompt immediate calls for investigations about whether the administration did too little too late as it focused on Iraq….

  2. Please pardon this cross-posting but I don’t have much else to say about these barbarians.

    Identify the attackers. Find out the locations of their ancestral villages in the Old Country and then make those places disappear (without warning). Deport any relatives or family members of theirs that are living in the West after seizing all of their assets as part of establishing a victim restitution fund.

    Make exceptions only for individuals (not any of their relatives) that had earnestly attempted to warn authorities beforehand. Otherwise, to hell with them and all of their ilk.

    • It won’t work. Or only on the margins.

      Those killers don’t value life – theirs, their families’, certainly not their “ancestral villages”. [The last one is projected Western thinking. These are tribes, Moh’s nomad ethos. Wildly different.]

      You’d have to convince their families and communities well BEFORE these zombies were on the VERGE of amok. Subhuman inbed mothers’ milk, lots of luck weaning them.

      Long-term, maybe. No where near what we need right now.

      • Long-term, maybe. No where near what we need right now.

        Gotta start somewhere.

        Making entire clans and villages disappear is something that no one can deny.

        The West can always work its way up to much larger towns and cities. It’s all about the options.