UKIP effect 2010

From EUReferendum

We are compiling the full list of seats where the Conservative failure to gain a victory could be considered attributable to the “UKIP effect”. This we take to be seats where either the UKIP vote, or the UKIP/BNP vote combined, exceeds the majority of the Labour or Lib-Dim winner. The list starts here:

1. Birmingham Edgbaston: Lab 16,894, Con 15,620 – majority 1,274. BNP 1,196 and UKIP 732 (total 1,928).

2. Bolton West: Lab 18,327, Con 18,235 – majority 1,901. UKIP 1,901.

3. Derby North: Lab 14,896, Con 14,283 – majority 613. UKIP 829 and BNP 2,000 (total 2,829).

4. Derbyshire North East: Lab 17,948, Con 15,503 – majority 2,445. UKIP 2,636.

5. Dorset Mid & Poole North: Lib-Dims 21,100, Con 20,831 – majority 269. UKIP 2,109.

6. Dudley North: Lab 14,923, Con 14,274 – majority 649. UKIP 3,267 and BNP 1,899 (total 5,166).

7. Gedling: Lab 19821, Con 17,962 – majority 1,859. UKIP 1,459 and BNP 1,598 (total 3,057).

8. Great Grimsby: Lab 10,777, Con 10, 063 – majority 714. UKIP 2,043 and BNP 1,517 (total 3,560).

9. Halifax: Lab 16,278, Con 14,806 – majority 1,472. BNP 2,760 and UKIP 654 (total 3,414).

10. Hampstead & Kilburn: Lab 17,332, Con 17, 290 – majority 42. UKIP 408 and BNP 328 (total 736).

11. Hyndburn: Lab 17,531, Con 14,441 – majority 3,090. UKIP 1,481 and BNP 2,137 (3,618).

12. Middlesborough South & Cleveland East: Lab 18,138, Con 16,461 – majority 1,677. UKIP 1,881 and BNP 1,576 (total 3,457).

13. Morley and Outwood: Lab 18,365, Con 17,264 – majority 1,101. UKIP 1,506 and BNP 3,535 (total 5,041).

14. Newcastle-under-Lyme: Lab 16,393, Con 14,841 – majority 1,551. UKIP 3,491.

15. Nottingham South: Lab 15,209, Con 13,437 – majority 1,772. BNP 1,140 and UKIP 967 (total 2,107).

16. Penistone & Stocksbridge: Lab: 17,565m Con 14,516 – majority 3,049. UKIP 1,936 and BNP 2,207 (total 4,143).

17. Plymouth Moor View: Lab 15,433, Con 13,845 – majority 1,588. UKIP 3,188 and BNP 1,438 (total 4,626).

18. St Austell & Newquay: Lib-Dim 20,189, Con 18,877 – majority 1,312. UKIP 1,757 and BNP 1,022 (total 2,779)

19. St Ives: Lib-Dims 19,619, Con 17,900 – majority 1,719. UKIP 2,560.

20. Scunthorpe: Lab 14,640, Con 12,091 – majority 2,549. UKIP 1,686 and BNP 1,447 (total 3,183).

21. Solihull: Lib-Dim 23,635, Con 23,460 – majority 175. UKIP 1,200 and BNP 1624 (total 2,824).

22. Somerton & Frome: Lib-Dims 28,793, Con 26,976 – majority 1,817. UKIP 1,932 and Leave-the-EU Alliance 236 (total 2,168).

23. Southampton Itchen: Lab 16,326, Con 16,134 – majority 192. UKIP 1,928.

24. Sutton & Cheam: Lib-Dims 22,156, Con 20,548 – majority 1,608. BNP 1,014 and UKIP 950 (total 1,964).

25. Telford: Lab 15,977, Con 14,996 – majority 981. UKIP 2,428 and BNP 1,513 (3,941).

26. Walsall North: Lab 13,385, Con 12,395 – majority 990. BNP 2,930 and UKIP 1,737 (4,667).

27. Walsall South: Lab 16,211, Con 14,456 – majority 1,755. UKIP 3,449.

28. Wells: Lib-Dims 24,560, Con 23,760 – majority 800. UKIP 1,711 and BNP 1,004 (total 2,815).

29. Wirral South: Lab 16,276, Con 15,745 – majority 531. UKIP 1,274.

30. Wolverhampton North East: Lab 14,448, Con 11,964 – majority 2,484. UKIP 1,138 and BNP 2,296 (total 3,434).

Leave a Reply

Your email address will not be published. Required fields are marked *

*

This site uses Akismet to reduce spam. Learn how your comment data is processed.