This is a good, short summary of what needs to be asked and answered.
H/T Richard..
“The secret of all victory lies in the organization of the non-obvious.” -Marcus Aurelius
“The secret of all victory lies in the organization of the non-obvious.” -Marcus Aurelius
This is a good, short summary of what needs to be asked and answered.
H/T Richard..
Right on, Brittany Hughes! And, you know what? I go on the internet daily and make like I’m researching the “hydroxychloroquine” question and it still comes up as extremely fuzzy and generally negative, with suggestions that Trump owns stocks, somehow, in a hydroxychloroquine machine or something. If I didn’t know any better it would probably be enough to make me steer clear of the drug as they call it “snake oil” and “false hope”, even though it might well turn out to be the “game-changer” that Trump prophesied…
I think they’re going to wake up and find their death-toll numbers have evaporated and they’ve got a pretty good handle on the remaining serious cases and they’re not going to know what to do. Certainly, nothing that might help Donald Trump in 2020… Like, what if Donald could just say, “Now get back to work folks, or you’re all fired!”. And what if the American system was not overwhelmed anymore by the COVID-19 virus and everybody took their hydroxychloroquine and Trump looked like the bloody savior and the nation recovered…?
Can’t have that…
There must be simulations you can run for economics. You can play with the epidemic ones. You choose an R that is likely to be appropriate for your area — high number of public transit users, density, use of PPE. I know this lady means well, but she is loosing the center of discussion, which is how to lower an R that could be larger than any we have dealt with before.
This is a good time to figure out how to be financially productive while keeping ourselves and our families healthy. This is a bad time to forget to be humble.
https://annals.org/aim/fullarticle/2764423/locally-informed-simulation-predict-hospital-capacity-needs-during-covid-19
http://predictivehealthcare.pennmedicine.org/2020/03/14/accouncing-chime.html
https://penn-chime.phl.io/ ” see what happens when you modify the Doubling Time parameter. You can also experiment with scenarios involving different levels of incidence severity and average lengths of stay for each severity class.”