Here is a stratfor analysis on todays election in Hungary. For those who do not already have it. Stratfor is a geopolitical think tank that while it may not call it all right, has a very interesting and worthwhile perspective on world events, well worth the investment. I think of it as a kind of filter. Before I decide on how things are, I try and at least run my perceptions through Stratfor’s method of thinking and certainly information on it. In any case, here is their analysis on Hungarian elections of April 11 2010
The first round of Hungarian parliamentary elections held on April 11 has most likely ushered in a large victory for the right-wing Fidesz party. According to early exit polls, Fidesz has garnered as much as 57 percent of the vote, with the governing Socialist party trailing far behind with 19-20 percent. The win will most likely give Fidesz a two-thirds majority in the parliament, allowing it to deal with the ongoing economic crisis by enacting structural reforms. Most notable, however, the far-right nationalist Jobbik party received 15-17 percent of the vote. This will give Jobbik — whose electoral platform is openly anti-Semitic and anti-Roma — a sizable presence in the parliament. Jobbik and Fidesz will likely further boost their total representation on April 25, when districts where no candidate obtained a majority on April 11 will hold runoff elections. Jobbik’s rise to electoral success is a notable phenomenon that indicates the appeal of far-right nationalist parties, especially during times of economic recession, and may signify a trend — especially in Central and Eastern Europe. As many Central and Eastern Europe countries are already members of the European Union, they no longer have to be concerned about the possible negative consequences for EU accession that the presence of parties like Jobbik in national parliaments could have posed. These countries also have fewer taboos about electing far-right nationalist parties than countries in Western Europe, since a large segment of politicians and intellectuals who fought against Communist rule used nationalism as a rallying cry to install democracy in the early 1990s.
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