Here is a link to the VladTepesBlog social media Mastodon Pod. Please feel free to check it out and sign up for an account if you are sufficiently annoyed with Twitter and Facebook to try something new.
Each day at just after midnight Eastern, a post like this one is created for contributors and readers of this site to upload news links and video links on the issues that concern this site. Most notably, Islam and its effects on Classical Civilization, and various forms of leftism from Soviet era communism, to postmodernism and all the flavours of galloping statism and totalitarianism such as Nazism and Fascism which are increasingly snuffing out the classical liberalism which created our near, miraculous civilization the West has been building since the time of Socrates.
This document was written around the time this site was created, for those who wish to understand what this site is about. And while our understanding of the world and events has grown since then, the basic ideas remain sound and true to the purpose.
So please post all links, thoughts and ideas that you feel will benefit the readers of this site to the comments under this post each day. And thank you all for your contributions.
This is the new Samizdat. We must use it while we can.
Totally off topic, but is there anyway you can include a description of your always fantastic banner photos? Thank you.
Some are obvious, others, not so much.
Hindustan Times: Hungary and Turkey not invited to democracy summit.
Kenyan President gives the speech we can only wish we heard from Dear Leader. In it he tries to assure the country that the USD shortages are being dealt with and that he supports free enterprise, and the rule of law. 5 min:
It is true that the world is seeing a shortage in U.S. dollars since the U.S. Fed raised interest rates to reduce the amount of dollars floating around, thereby lowering inflation. However the knock-on effect has been to render the ocean of U.S.-government bonds issued prior to the interest rate rise as severely diminished in value. This means that holders of those bonds are having great difficulty meeting their financial obligations. We see this diminished collateral now affecting markets in the form of regional banks going down. But we also see massive Credit Suisse being absorbed by the Swiss taxpayer because it is “too big to fail”. It is now clear that “too big to fail” also means too big to succeed.
Commercial real estate will show up this week on our radars. Lockdowns kept millions of office workers at home and revolutionized the way people work. Many will never return to the old model. This has resulted in millions of square feet of vacant commercial office and retail real estate. Major property management companies such as Brookfield may be flirting with insolvency as a result. Major banks, in turn, may be holding (sub-prime) mortgages or other financial instruments such as the aforementioned underwater bonds. This may result in daisy-chained financial disaster, or not.
I purposely repeat the word “may” to convey the opaqueness of the situation. The interconnectedness of systemically-important players will not be known until they show up in distress. Our governments vow to make all rich debt holders “whole”. This can only mean printing more money to bail-out all those who have become too big to succeed. This then becomes, necessarily, a taxpayer bail-in.
My net take on the situation is that, until now, I did not understand and could not imagine any mechanism by which hyperinflation could happen. I’m not saying this will happen, but money printing on the scale that our governments pledge is a possibility can leave one with no other sober conclusion.
It’s good to be the king.
I wouldn’t go even if O paid ME $800.
Obama is using this speech to launder some of his stolen money
The part of the problem is that when the US crashes the entire world crashes.
2:40 The Canadian propaganda bullhorn manages to find one local retard to add its own twisted spin to illegal economic migrants continuing to cross at Roxham Rd.:
Don’t give up, don’t give in. Don’t stop trying and don’t stop speaking out.
8:54 Alberta Premier fights for her province:
A take on this by a VTB contributor would be appreciated:
That would be nice
No insider knowledge, but it os the Middel East
And it’s more “Middle Eastern” all the time.… More than 50% of the population is from Arab roots.
Witness third-world behaviors everywhere. Manipulated by the same elites who control the MUG [military, government, media] here.
I can’t watch Arab Spring Redux.
This is the *Holy Land*.
That makes it Chillul Hashem – a BIG sin. Last time it brought about the destruction of the Second Temple and millennia of exile.
Now watch as seconds are shaved off the Doomsday Clock. This time it’ll be global Ground Zero.
Sudden Deaths …
“…Early in 2021, Ed Dowd noticed a rise of news stories about sudden deaths among fit athletes and other seemingly healthy people. Since then, he’s amassed evidence from the insurance industry, funeral home industry, and government databases showing that excessive deaths among working-age Americans have increased in 2021 versus 2020. His thesis is simple: What changed in 2021? …” https://www.rumormillnews.com/cgi-bin/forum.cgi?read=219669
It is a long but excellent interview.
( 81 min )
Sasha Latypova Exposes Fraud & “Structure of the Covid Crime” w/ Dr. Kelly Victory – Ask Dr. Drew
( 68 min )
“I know whodunit,” says Sasha Latypova. “I only guess who ordered it.” Sasha joins Dr. Kelly Victory to discuss her research and what she calls the “executive organizational structure of the covid crime.”
Listen to the President of Pfizer Canada pathologically lie about the poison they forced people to get injected with.
I’m so glad this stupid Witch meets the diversity, inclusion and equality checkmarks.
This villain belongs in prison for life.
+ 2 min 09 video
Does Big Pharma Respect the Rule of Law?
( 4 min 19 )
Parliament, like the courts, has the legal right to demand the access of documents.
Will big pharma companies respect the will of Parliament and the law, and show us their vaccine contracts?
2 min warning on the history of vaccines used as Bioweapons for eugenics.
+ 2 min 01 video
REAL “VACCINE” AGENDA – “THEY ARE BIO-WEAPONS”
Sydney White presents ‘Murder in the First! A History of Vaccines’ for Studies in Propaganda 2011 at the Free University of Toronto
Video by Independent Media Source
( 1 h 35 min )
Top Insurance Analyst Finds a 7% Increase In Aggregate Mortality for Each C19 Dose Received
Josh Stirling: “The more doses … you have in a [US] region … the bigger increase in mortality …”
“If you’re over the age of 50, and you took all 5 doses, that’d be a 35% increase.”
+ 1 min 39 video
epoch times – JAN 2023 – Josh Stirling: Dissecting Excess Death Data and How Insurance Industry’s Trillions Could Be Deployed to Help the Vaccine-Injured
+ 42 min video
“The more doses on average you have in a region within the United States, the bigger increase in mortality that region has had in 2022 when compared to 2021,” said Josh Stirling, an insurance research analyst who has been dissecting alarming trends in life insurance, mortality and disability data over the past couple of years.
Looking at CDC data, Stirling ranked the number of doses administered across regions in the U.S. and compared that to the increase or decrease in mortality in 2022 compared to 2021. He said what he found was a clear regression line to the right. In other words, more doses correlated to greater increases in mortality.
He has also conducted extensive analysis of U.K. data which show greater mortality rates among the vaccinated than the unvaccinated in 2022, as well as German hospital data showing alarming trends in immune-related issues and female fertility.
According to Sterling, COVID-19 vaccine manufacturers have turned their backs on the vaccine-injured—and face essentially no financial consequences for doing so. But there is one multi-trillion industry that actually does have a big financial incentive to help the vaccine-injured, said Stirling. He is the founder of Insurance Collaboration to Save Lives.
“If we were actually just screening for these people, the vast majority of these health issues—before they become catastrophic—could very easily be managed, not necessarily solved, but certainly managed with amazing medical advances and simple things like blood thinners, or changes in lifestyle,” he said.
“If we can help at scale people understand their current health situation, then, absolutely, we can save a bunch of lives,” said Stirling.
Josh Sterling, such a pleasure to have you on American Thought Leaders.
Jan, I’m so happy to be here. Thank you for the opportunity.
We met last December at the hearing that Ron Johnson convened on COVID-19 vaccines; what they are, how they work, and the possible causes of injuries. And indeed, you presented at this hearing some very interesting and very troubling data around all-cause mortality, and some ideas about what might be causing a very significant increase in America and other places around the world. Why don’t you just remind us of what you presented?
What I presented at the hearing in DC was the semi-famous chart that tells the whole story, which is using data from the United Kingdom’s Office of National Statistics, where for about 18 months they had been tracking the monthly mortality for the vaccinated populations by the number of doses, as well as the unvaccinated in the United Kingdom.
Starting in January 2021, they generated this data with a couple of months lag. They released the most recent version of it over the summer of 2022. What you see when you analyze this data is that although the vaccinated appear to have had lower mortality in the year 2021 in general and aggregate across all ages, in 2022, generally the vaccinated have had much higher mortality than the unvaccinated.
In particular, there were a couple of really troubling things that emerged, which is one of the reasons that Senator Johnson was so interested in this data. You can see that people who only took one dose of the vaccine had 145 per cent higher mortality in the more recent months, and that’s not a recent phenomenon. That’s what’s been going on for a number of months throughout this dataset.
That’s probably because they were injured by the shot, and of course that’s a real tragedy, because we all know someone who had a bad reaction to the COVID vaccine shot. That’s a very common thing, unfortunately. It also showed that on average across all populations in the United Kingdom, you can see that overall, in the last data we have available, there’s a 26 per cent higher mortality rate for those who’ve been vaccinated, versus those who haven’t. And under the age of 50 it’s a 49 per cent higher mortality rate.
Those are really troubling numbers. I’ve gotten a fair amount of interest in what I said in DC. Just to put a pin in it, if you just take those numbers and you apply them against the United States, we have about three million deaths a year.
If you use the number of people who are vaccinated, the different proportions of the United States and the different categories, and you apply the experience from the United Kingdom to the United States, you end up concluding that we are probably having about 20 per cent additional mortality as a result of the vaccine, which if those numbers hung true, would be 600,000 deaths a year in the United States.
This isn’t something where you know for sure this is the cause, just to be clear.
No. I used to work on Wall Street, and you were a financial detective where you pulled pieces of data from lots of different things to try to figure out what’s happening right now, and what’s likely to happen in the future. And so, we’re working with lots of different types of data and consulting with medical doctors and people in the insurance community and public health researchers.
Ultimately, there’s a lot of different ways to look through the numbers. There’s at least three or four different ways to triangulate into a similar conclusion from big data sets that have tens, if not hundreds of millions of people in them. But ideally, we would all like to do a lot more research to know for sure.
Because there are other reasons why there might be higher mortality. For example, when the shelter-in-place policies were active. And actually, in the UK it was a bit different than here too, which is interesting. But arguably, that could be a factor that plays in. How do you tease that out?
Let me share some data that could possibly speak to some of that. One of the data sets that insurance people in particular look at is non-COVID mortality. Let’s just set aside COVID, and just talk about what’s going on besides COVID. That’s what that means.
In the summer of 2020, during peak lockdown in a lot of places, there was a little bit of a blip in non-COVID mortality. That was probably attributable to social deaths from isolation, loneliness, the loss of a job, alcohol, fentanyl, and things like that. But those went away, and you saw non-COVID mortality be like a net benefit. It was lower than you would expect for a couple of quarters late in 2020, and then early in 2021.
What’s happened on that data series is since the third quarter of 2021, it generally has continued to be elevated. And recently, non-COVID mortality, excess mortality but not from COVID, represents about 62 per cent of our current mortality problem. And so, it’s not COVID. It could be a lot of things. It could definitely be some of the social stuff. It could possibly be contributed to long-term lockdown impact. Long COVID is a possibility, too.
The spike protein floating around does a lot of damage, it really doesn’t matter where it’s coming from. There are multiple sources, obviously, whether it’s the vaccine or whether it’s the infection. But for the big systemic change, as a data analyst if you’re looking at the time series, you end up saying the easiest way to explain this, and probably the most statistically likely way to explain this is in fact the change that occurred in 2021 was largely when the vast majority of the world got vaccinated.
Because the group I’ve been working with is a bunch of insurance geeks, and we’ve looked at it in a bunch of different ways. The UK data is one of the most powerful ways of looking at it. Ultimately, what they’ve done is not a randomized control study, because there’s going to be sample biases between people who do or don’t take the vaccine. It’s hard to know for sure if they’re healthier or they’re less healthy.
There’s a lot of different theories on what the bias would be, either a good guy or a bad guy for different analysis. But ultimately, what you’re looking at is that it’s a real-world experiment with tens of millions of lives. And so, the statistical credibility is real. How one interprets it is always open for debate.
This last bit of data you were describing, I think that was U.S. CDC data, if I’m not mistaken.
But then before you were talking about UK data. Why not just use CDC data across the board?
Because this is a global phenomenon, one of the issues that’s been helpful is that there’s a lot of different global public health authorities with different types of data available in different amounts. The CDC provides a lot of data, but they don’t provide some of the most critical pieces of data. We’ve done work with German hospital records, because the Germans are very well organized, and they’re very open and transparent with a lot of their records. You can analyze what the trends are, different diseases and symptoms, treatments, and the procedures in hospitals in Germany. That data is not public in the United States. It’s just not available.
Similarly, I would love to do a report showing that in the United States we’ve got 250-something million people who have taken the vaccine at varying levels of dosing and a number of boosters. Obviously, the U.S. government, through the CDC and Social Security Administration as well of all the various states, has records that could be merged to do all of these things, and to literally recreate that same study. If they’ve done that study, they haven’t published it. They absolutely haven’t released it to the public, the data analyst community, the public health researchers, and the insurers for us to do it ourselves.
The best we can do in the United States is to use the aggregated data that the CDC does release. One of the things that’s really interesting—everybody involved with this is working 24/7, it’s an emerging problem and there’s a lot of things happening quickly—is that we didn’t have this data in DC.
But since then, we’ve pulled together an analysis that uses CDC data from the United States that compares the vaccination status ranked by the number of doses across regions in the United States and then compares that to the amount of increase or decrease in mortality this year versus last year.
If the vaccine was neutral, there would just be no relationship between these two things. If the vaccine was helpful at reducing all-cause mortality, you would see that the more doses of region, in the state of Vermont or Maine or Hawaii or Connecticut or someplace that’s pretty highly vaccinated, you would see lower levels of mortality year over year, because people got more vaccines than in other places that didn’t do as much for whatever reason, you would see an improvement and you would see a line that slopes down to the right.
Instead, when we did that analysis and cut it a number of different ways, by different types of city and region and by age group as well, we gave it some thought to make sure there wasn’t a bias in it. But no matter how you do it, what you end up seeing is that you create a regression line goes up and to the right, which is simply to say that the more doses on average you have in a region within the United States, the bigger increase in mortality that region has had in 2022, when compared to 2021.
That is an aggregate statistical tool that exactly confirms the conclusion of the UK data. It’s a different way of doing it. It’s a totally different dataset. But ultimately, it leads to a very similar mathematical conclusion. It’s a really unfortunate one, because obviously, hundreds of millions of us had our friends and family and all of society having to deal with these long-term health consequences. I’m hopeful that we as a society can start to focus on those, because that’s an opportunity to solve this problem by focusing on health.
There’s something that’s a bit unintuitive, but you’re arguing that it tells the same story. One of them is what you just described, that with this regression line, the more boosted people are, the mortality among those groups increases. But in the UK data, you said that it’s the first shot that actually shows the highest mortality. How are these things not in opposition to each other?
It’s a really good question, Jan. It has to do with how the data is structured. On an individual basis, you can make a better prediction for a person’s mortality risk based on the UK data. Which is to say that if you took one dose and stopped, because it wasn’t a design study and it’s an observational study, it’s literally that you stopped at one dose.
Then, we can infer, based on the statistics that we have from the UK, you’re likely to have substantially higher elevated mortality. The reason that we can speculate intuitively to explain that, is that these people stopped because they were injured on the first dose.
Basically, they said, “Okay, I’m not doing this again.”
Within 21 days they were supposed to get a second dose and they said, “No, I’m not going to do that.” In the U.S., that’s about 12 per cent of Americans. What the data would suggest here is that if the relationships in the UK are the same in the U.S., those people would have a 145 per cent higher mortality rate. The reason that doesn’t carry on to the U.S. data in aggregate is because when you look at big groups of people, the little individual signals of their behavior is washed out. Because really what we’re just saying is “Were there more doses in Georgia than Alabama, or in Vermont versus Maine?
In that case, it’s all just a question of what is the aggregate level of dosing? In which case, if you use the regression line on that data, you end up being able to very clearly draw a conclusion that says the slope of the line is basically how much mortality increase you’re getting from every dose. It’s about a 7 per cent increase in aggregate mortality from U.S. data per dose. If you’re over the age of 50 and you took all five doses, that would be a 35 per cent increase.
Right. For the benefit of our viewers and my own sanity, in the UK you know that there are specific people; one, two, three, four people that you’re tracking. In the U.S., you can only say that overall, in this state or that state, this is what it looks like.
Yes, and that’s exactly right. The statistical department in the UK is really good, and they seem like they’re really good in Germany too, so we have better data to work with overseas. But the data we have here is troubling. We started our conversation talking about excess mortality, generally. As of the third quarter COVID is in the rear-view mirror now.
It depends on how you calculate these things, but if we use CDC numbers and then compare it to 2019, current mortality is elevated by about 12.4 per cent in the third quarter of 2022, relative to where it was in 2019. Approximately, that rounds up to 400,000 people a year just on that number.
That’s across all age groups?
It is across all age groups. You get into measurement questions with the different age group levels, because of challenges in the pull forward effect in trying to figure this out, which is particularly extreme in the older ages. The increased mortality isn’t as extreme for the older ages than the younger ages, largely because there’s about a million people who died in 2020 and 2021, mostly in the older ages, who if they hadn’t died in those years due to COVID, or due to failure to treat COVID, or bad hospital protocols that led to deaths that were not necessary, if those people hadn’t died then, they would be dying now. But since they have already died, it looks like we have less deaths now. That’s not really a win. That’s kind of double counting.
You would say it’s a distortion. A Wall Streeter might talk about it as a pull forward effect, like when a retailer runs a special and a promotion and they sell a lot of extra toasters this year, but then nobody buys the toasters the next year, because they just got a big discount. So then, their numbers are much lower the following year.
That’s what is going on in a lot of the U.S. in particular, because we had much higher mortality than a lot of other countries for a variety of reasons. We have a bigger pull forward effect too, which is why it looks like on some measures we have lower mortality right now than in other places.
It was concentrated in some of those higher risk groups, especially of significantly advanced age people.
Wow. You’re clearly a numbers guy. Why don’t you tell me how you got interested in this? The numbers are fascinating in themselves, but they’re also pretty morbid. At the same time, you could get in a lot of trouble looking at these numbers from what we’ve seen over the last few years. Please tell me about how you got here.
The short answer is I’ve been an insurance guy my whole career and I’ve had enough prior experiences looking at numbers that are controversial and getting in trouble, and that didn’t push me away. I’m not an economist, but every morning I wake up and I look at a whole bunch of charts about the economy, because I’m a former Wall Street guy. I like thinking about numbers. I like understanding the relationships of things.
All of a sudden, this explosion of public health data coming out led me to this journey of trying to understand what’s going on. Along the way I became passionate about it as a matter of faith and of calling. I want to try to help people, because I began to realize what the data was saying.
I began to either meet or see people, and I’m sure it’s just anecdotal, who were real people that were harmed in some fashion by COVID policy in general. But in particular, I saw some of the things that are driving mortality, morbidity, and disability up through the roof at record levels in 2022. I just felt moved to try to help folks. Ultimately, that’s why I’m here with you today, and that’s why I met with Senator Johnson last month.
You’re a father as I understand it.
I am. I’ve got two beautiful girls. I’m very lucky they are okay. I saw videos of people like Maddie de Garay, the poor girl who was in the Pfizer child study who suffered completely debilitating paralysis. And I can’t speak for her. I’m not sure of her current status, but ultimately the stories are heart-wrenching as a father.
As a professional analyst who likes to read things and likes to look at numbers, I read the child study, the Pfizer study, and realized that they didn’t even code her as a serious adverse event. That starts to piece things together. I began to realize there was a lot to this where I, as a moral duty, and as a humanitarian calling, could use those skills that I learned on Wall Street for a better and more noble purpose. And that’s why I’ve been trying to help.
Insurance industry data is very difficult to interpret. This is what became your specialty to try to tease through it and explain it to the Wall Street types who are deciding how to deal with different realities. You were quoted in this story about Lincoln Financial and their unusual credit downgrading. There seems to be some kind of signal, in one insurance company at least, that suggests that there is increased mortality and they’re concerned about it. But you’re not seeing it in other places. Is that really a signal that needs to be looked at?
You’re seeing it in the raw data. I don’t think this is just a Lincoln thing. Certainly, most life insurance companies are going to face different, potentially very serious challenges coming out of whatever we want to call this, the knock-on effects of COVID. Whether we say it’s the vaccine or something else, it doesn’t really matter.
The legal complexities, in terms of losses, as well as in the terms of incidental litigation that will come from this and other complexities, are likely to be a problem. But for your viewers, I used to be a professional insurance analyst. For many years I kept a fortune cookie I had happened to find on my desk to remind me, and the fortune cookie was saying it’s your job to simplify.
But the simple story for life insurers in particular, and insurers generally, is that their accounting is not bad. It’s the way it’s designed, and they follow the rules. But the rules are designed to smooth out bumps in the road and make very gradual changes over long periods of time. As an industry, they also really don’t have to borrow any money.
For your financially astute viewers, you’ll recognize those things are basically exactly the opposite of banks and hedge funds and other types of financial intermediaries that borrow most of their money, and they sometimes borrow it overnight, so a lot of their assets and obligations are very much marked to the market.
Here is something which can be like a canary in a coal mine in the insurance industry for potentially huge problems. A leading industry player like Lincoln Financial gets downgraded from A+ to A. I’m not saying anything bad about Lincoln, and I don’t think it’s their fault.
They are being downgraded because their policyholders are keeping their policies longer as they age, presumably because they want their production, and presumably because maybe they’re feeling like they’re not as healthy as they were hoping to be. That would argue for potentially more losses in the future relative to higher mortality, because the policy holders themselves are revealing through their actions their choice to keep their policies, and that perhaps there are adverse health signals.
Basically, you’re saying people are not canceling their insurance policies at the normal rate, and that indicates that people have health concerns, so they’re keeping them. Am I reading this right?
Yes. That would be the best interpretation. That’s the underlying signal, and that’s the way I interpret it. AM Best regulates insurance companies, and I’ve talked to them a number of times about these issues. They were very kind to quote me in this article talking about that saying, “Hey, we think this could be a sign of things to come,” politely.
Again, it’s not a Lincoln thing. It’s a systemic thing. The way it works in insurance world is this could take two decades to play out. If this is unbelievable, with people who’ve heard of long-term care, maybe some of your viewers have these policies. The insurance industry was right into them gangbusters in the 1990s. GE [General Electric] back in those days was a life insurance company, and they did all sorts of things under Jack Welch back in the 90s.
They sold that business, in part because of all the money they were losing in long-term care in the mid-2000s. They took it public, and it became Genworth. Genworth, after a decade completely imploded in the 2010s, because of problems created in the 1990s. They had lots of financial troubles, got downgraded, and became more of what they call a company in runoff that doesn’t really write new business.
The regulators were very much looking over everything they did. In 2018, shortly before COVID, GE surprised the world when all of a sudden, they found they still had problems buried in GE relating to long-term care, which the world had thought were gotten rid of in 2004 or 2005. They were bad decisions relating to long-term care insurance policies that were made in the early 1990s.
Life insurance accounting in particular is very long duration. It’s important to look for the signal and not get too hung up on the accounting, because the accounting is going to take a lot longer to play out than the actual underlying reality.
I want to switch gears. You mentioned that Germany has really good data, so what is the German data showing?
The German data, we were able to get access to aggregated information from tens of millions of individual hospital visits, based on procedures and diagnoses and billing codes. This is the kind of work a good health insurer would do. They want to understand, “What are we paying for? How does that change over time? What are the trends? Are there signals and different types of procedures?”
Because obviously, if you think about what’s going to predict for the funeral home, you have to look at the nursing home, and what predicts for the nursing home is the hospital. You want to look further up the chain to get closer to the actual underlying health issues to try to predict what’s coming.
The most important thing we saw was that there were a lot of variants. There was a lot of evidence that there’s multisystemic harm. There’s lots of stuff happening. It’s not stable and there’s lots of different types of bodily systems that seem to be affected.
It’s worth noting that there were a lot of very high increases in the other, the unknown, and the, “we’re not really sure,” categories. But if you look at those by orders of magnitude, 200 per cent, 500 per cent, those big increases in categorization were not obvious to the hospital practitioner who was coding the event.
What were the examples?
Examples of things that we would get were very clear significant increases, including things like pulmonary embolisms, which feels like a lung problem, but is typically related to blood clotting, as best I understand it, not being a medical person. There are also very significant signals in fetal problems, as well as maternal health. There was a signal from our database from this German data of something like a 67 per cent increase in ovariectomies in childbearing age women.
There were very big increases in various immune related issues, and substantial increases in cancer. That’s interesting because you don’t see that in the CDC data, which again speaks to the benefit of the multiplicity of sources. Every data set is going to have its own quirks, whether it’s an accidental bias, or perhaps some policy decision about how they want to code things. There’s a lot of people who think that there’s some degree of policy judgment in how the CDC presents and stores its data.
In the German data you see clear signals for cancer, and you know don’t really see that, at least in the way I’ve looked at it, from the analysis here in the U.S. and in the CDC’s data. One of the things that was surprising, and now that I’m aware of it, I see it all over the place in people in my own life; eye-related problems. Eye-related problems. You wouldn’t see that in a cause-of-death analysis because eye related problems don’t kill you. But there were order of magnitude increases of 150 per cent in eye-related surgeries and similar types of procedures.
Since we discovered that, we have talked to some practitioners and they said, “That could very easily be explained by micro-clotting within all of the super small eye. You might have cerebrovascular and other things that would show up in these datasets, basically blood clotting that causes a problem not in just a general place like your leg, but also in a critical bodily organ like your eyes or your lungs or your kidneys, which happens to be a logical secondary effect. It’s very troubling stuff.
Have you looked at disability data? What is the disability data talking about?
The United States does a pretty good job of tracking disabilities. This is not disability claims data. That’s a different data set. This is literally every month the Bureau of Labor Statistics when they do their employment surveys to figure out who’s employed and not for the unemployment report that gets a lot of media attention. They also ask the question, “Is there anyone disabled in your household?” In order to be disabled, there’s a number of criteria you have to meet. They ask you about your activities of daily living, and they’ve done that for about 15 years.
In 2021, particularly in March or April, it really started rising rapidly. We’re now at record levels, not just on a numbers basis, but also on a percentage of the population basis, we’re at levels we’ve never seen before. Approximately, depending on how you think about it, somewhere between two and four million people incrementally have been disabled over the past year or two.
As a percentage of our workforce, certainly it’s more than one per cent, maybe it’s two per cent, depending on which of these numbers you use. Some of our unemployment challenges over the past couple of years have probably been in part because of these disability issues. This is not conclusive by any means because it’s not designed to be. But if you were to do a temporal study, you end up saying that most of the disability increase came in the couple of months after the vaccines rolled out. It’s an eminently plausible theory that one is related to the other. That doesn’t prove it, but it certainly raises questions.
There was a Rasmussen poll that said that something like 28 per cent of Americans, in fact more Democrats than Republicans, which was an interesting finding, believe they know someone who has actually died from vaccine injury. That’s a fascinating and kind of crazy poll. And again, there is some signal there, right?
Absolutely. That’s a very large group of Americans, especially if they cut across both parties. We will have to address these issues.
Even looking at Pfizer’s own data, all the signals that we’re seeing are essentially pointing in the same direction. Is that how you read it?
I sometimes give institutional audiences a bunch of charts together and that’s the story I tell, which is not just one thing. It’s a whole half dozen of them now, really. It’s not like we want to be right on this. We’d rather be wrong. We’d rather find there’s no relationship.
But when you really do it as a statistics-oriented professional analyst who spent his entire career thinking about insurance, which is counting up burned buildings and car crashes and dead people and unfortunate stuff and trying to figure out the parameters of that, so we can price for it, or reserve for it, or invest in a company based on those things, you do your best work and say, “My goodness, this is a big problem,” you end up having confidence, not just because of the numbers, but because the multiplicity of it. If something is true, you can prove it in many ways.
The bottom line is you’re saying that there is very significant mortality that has happened. I’m really interested in how you’re thinking about trying to rally some sectors of society that might be difficult to rally around something that a lot of people don’t even want to admit exists at this point. I’m talking about this excess mortality even as a reality. You can’t hide that.
Yes. There’s a lot of different people doing different things to try to help. My focus has been, and it’s going to continue to be, how can I bring the global insurance industry into being part of the solution? The reason I’m doing that is because I know the vast majority of people who work in insurance do so because they want to help their neighbor. They’re not central to this problem, but they’re dealing with its consequences.
There’s something like $7 trillion in the life insurance industry in the United States alone in terms of assets. I’ve been on the phone for the past two weeks with lots of important people in the insurance industry, because we are founding an organization called the Insurance Collaboration to Save Lives. I’ve been shocked and blessed by the amount of momentum that we’re starting to get. We’re absolutely not pushing a vaccine-focused message, because that’s a divisive message. Ultimately, it’s a divisive message.
To your point earlier, there’s only so much anybody can know. And the more practical answer is it doesn’t really matter. That part of the damage has been done. I believe the insurance industry, if it focuses its resources on helping to solve this problem, there’s no question that we can make a huge difference. The challenge that we have, and we’re in the process of trying to organize resources around and get support for, is we want to save a million lives.
We’re going to do it by screening with blood tests. Because the vast majority of things we just talked about, without inventing new science, we can figure out the symptoms of people who have subacute problems relating to myocarditis, to blood clots, to a lot of these infections, to a lot of autoimmune type stuff, and to inflammation. There are a number of different very standard medical technologies that can be deployed at scale in a cost-effective way to figure out who are the five or 10 per cent of Americans today who are at risk of some potentially catastrophic outcome that they are not aware of.
I’m thinking of the sports figures who die, and the kids with all the sad stories we see all the time now. If we were just screening for these people, the vast majority of these health issues, before they become catastrophic, could be very easily managed, not necessarily solved, but certainly managed with amazing medical advances, and simple things like blood thinners or changes in lifestyle. You don’t want to be a powerlifter and go to the gym and use a ton of adrenaline through your weakened heart, if you’ve got a weakened heart. If we can help at a scale where people can understand their current health situation, then absolutely we can save a bunch of lives.
The scale of this problem means that something like a million lives is not crazy. In doing that we’re also going to dig up a lot of data. That’s not the focus. The focus is saving lives. But ultimately, we’re flying blind. I’m really good at what I do, but I wasn’t a public health researcher. We’ve gotten all this data to realize that we see signals of problems. We see that we have really good hunches based on the data, and we piece it together, but we don’t know for sure.
The only way to know for sure what’s going on with American health right now is to go out and test them. Until someone else can answer why we’ve got excess mortality, that’s got to be the expectation. We should be asking if you’re a sports team, you got to test your players. If you’re an airline, you have to test your pilots. If you’re in the military, you have to test your soldiers. If you’re an employer, maybe you should test your employees.
This doesn’t have to be limited to insurance. But what’s special about insurance is insurance cares. Insurance has a lot of money. And insurance has always been a leader, and has always been a leader for safety. Auto safety comes from the insurance industry. Worker safety comes from the insurance industry. Underwriters Laboratories and electrical device safety come from the insurance industry. Building codes in fire departments come from the insurance industry. This is what we do. We try to help people and prevent loss.
You’re incentivized to do that, I think.
We’re incentivized to do it.
This is the key, because I’ve learned, and I’ve mentioned this in many interviews, an idea from Thomas Sowell—looking at the world not from the goals people necessarily have, but from the incentive structures that exist. This tells me that this is a very promising direction that you’re taking. Here’s a couple of things just off the top of my head.
One is that you’re talking about lifestyle choices being a solution for people. For example, knowing that they have a condition that they need to be careful about, that they didn’t know about before. Then, they can make lifestyle choices, and that might be enough to basically deal with that increased risk.
Secondly, the insurance companies are going to be extremely incentivized to reduce problems upstream, which you describe as certainly happening now. Based on the criteria you mentioned, you could assume it would continue. But in terms of accountability for what has happened, do you want to leave that somewhere else?
There’s a lot of folks involved in all aspects of this. I don’t think that’s where we could add anything of any particular value. From an insurer’s perspective, this was like a hurricane. A hurricane came through. Call it whatever you want. There’s now a bunch of people that are damaged and injured.
Instead of it being buildings without roofs where we have to help you get some tarp over it quickly, and get you some temporary living expenses, and get thousands of our people from all over the country down to Florida or Louisiana, or wherever it is, to try to put people back together—we have to use that same muscle and that same energy and that same care for our neighbors. That is central to the whole purpose of insurance, and what most of these companies care about and think about, especially the mutuals.
We just have to use that on a different field, which is there’s a lot of sick people that don’t even know they’re sick that need to be helped, and we can help. If we did so just by screening and triage and lifestyle choices that are basically free, and with better understanding and knowledge, my goodness, we could save hundreds of millions, perhaps hundreds of billions of dollars. It depends on where this catastrophe goes. But the sooner we take an activist approach to it and try to focus on solving the problem, that’s ultimately when society moves forward.
And this is lives and dollars.
The lives matter, but the insurers can pay to save the lives, because they’re already on the hook. And that’s lost mitigation. That’s what insurers do all day long.
Let me ask this. In general, there’s a healthy distrust of the insurance industry, and a distrust of Big Pharma and medicine at the moment. You’re advocating for very large-scale testing, which someone is going to be making money from, and then someone else is going to be getting the data from. People may be skeptical of the proposal, despite the incentive structures seemingly working here.
You’re right in some ways. I’m laughing as you said this, because we just lived through this whole; test, test, test, test. And then, depending on how much you’re plugged into that, you realize a lot of that wasn’t even meaningful. The reality is that it’s about empowering the individual to manage their health. It’s not the place of the life insurance industry or the disability insurance industry, but really the individual to make the best decisions they can, including using doctors and the teams of professionals that are out there.
But the thesis here is basically that people just don’t know. We have a duty because of where we sit in the economic chain, where we can stare at these numbers straight in the face. We have a humanitarian duty and a unique opportunity to be able to save people, or at least to empower them to consult with their local doctor and make the changes that they need to better manage their health.
If there weren’t this otherwise inexplicable rise in excess mortality, it really wouldn’t be the insurance industry’s place to do this. Or maybe at least it wouldn’t be necessary. But no one else is offering to do it and it needs to be done. And I think we could start this.
You’re saying that you’re getting significant buy-in from people.
People are excited about helping. People don’t want to be in the middle of a political fight. And so, we’re going to make an inclusive effort to seek answers, save lives and mitigate laws, which are our three goals. We’re going to help a lot of people. The other aspect of all of this is that there are really good professionals who are going to focus their efforts on helping to rebuild society.
Josh Sterling, it’s such a pleasure to have you on the show.
Thank you so much, Jan. It was great to be here.
Thank you all for joining Josh Sterling and me on this episode of American Thought Leaders. I’m your host, Jan Jekielek.
Thank you Martin
BioNTech forecasts slump in sales as demand for Covid jab wanes
Expected fall highlights challenges for pharmaceutical companies that experienced pandemic windfall
Covid-19 vaccine maker BioNTech has forecast a sharp decline in sales, underlining the plunging demand for booster doses and the challenge for pharma companies that boomed during the pandemic.
The German biotech company, which produces its vaccine with Pfizer, said on Monday that revenues from Covid vaccines would drop to about €5bn in 2023, from more than €17bn in 2022 and close to €19bn in 2021.
The fall was much worse than market expectations, with analysts forecasting Covid revenues of almost €9bn in 2023, according to Bloomberg data.
BioNTech, whose Covid jab using new messenger RNA technology became the world’s bestselling by revenue, said that adaptations for new variants of the virus would lead to some increased demand. But it also anticipated “fewer primary vaccinations and lowered population-wide levels of boosting”.
Shares in BioNTech fell 3.7 per cent.
However, Jens Holstein, the company’s chief financial officer, predicted that 2023 could be a “trough year” for the Covid market as vaccine producers began to increase prices.
“That won’t happen fully this year because we have a majority of countries that are still under government contracts that are a relic, or a follow-on, from the pandemic,” he told an analyst call.
Holstein said that BioNTech’s revenue-sharing agreement with Pfizer and its low associated costs meant that the Covid vaccine would generate significant income for the company in the years ahead as a commercial market matured. “It could lead to potential for increased volumes and increased prices, but that could take time,” he added.
Rival Moderna — which also uses MRNA for its vaccine — has reported a similar slump in projected revenues, while Novavax, a late-to-market maker of a Covid jab that uses a more traditional technology, this month warned about its ability to continue to do business amid a decline in demand.
Research published in October by the health data analytics group Airfinity said that, while vaccine makers had begun raising prices, this would not fully compensate for the drop in demand for jabs in 2023. It expects 1.6bn Covid vaccine doses to be delivered this year, compared with 3bn in 2022 and 5.7bn in 2021.
The expected revenue plunge highlights the challenges for global pharmaceutical companies that reaped the benefits from the pandemic and must now forge ahead with new products.
BioNTech has been investing in using the technology to treat cancer as it seeks to plough its windfall profits from the pandemic into diversification.
This year it announced it would buy the UK artificial intelligence start-up InstaDeep for as much as £562mn as part of an effort to harness machine learning to improve the process of discovering new drugs. It also unveiled a plan to partner with the UK government to enrol up to 10,000 patients in clinical trials for cutting-edge oncological treatments.
Suzanne van Voorthuizen, analyst at Dutch bank Van Lanschot Kempen, said that BioNTech was entering its “post-pandemic life”, although she was bullish about the company’s future, noting it has more than €20bn in cash.
“They always had a broad pipeline with more than 20 programmes before the pandemic,” she added. “The pandemic caused one programme to leapfrog everything. And it now gives them a source of funding to help deploy the rest of their pipeline.”
john campbell – Sweden
Bill Gates UK Aid Funding GMO Food & Farm Animals
Really? The U.N.?
MARCH 27 2023 – Orlando Bloom in Kiev
Katie Hopkins – Orlando Bloom? Bear Grylls? How is ANYONE still buying into war propaganda on Ukraine?
Karkhov – Ukraine
Iraq War II, 20 Years Later / Ukraine Today – Scott Horton
The only mistake the journalist makes in this 5 min. vid is in saying Dear Leader is naive. His destruction is willful. On Saskatchewan protecting itself.
Trump as NYC Grand Jury Reconvenes: “Election Interference Through Prosecutors is the New “Ballot Stuffing” For the Democrat Party!!!”
By Cristina Laila Mar. 27, 2023 11:45 am0 Comments
The New York City Grand Jury investigating the junk charges against President Trump reconvened on Monday.
Trump has been accused of paying Daniels ‘hush payments’ through his then-attorney Michael Cohen in a scheme to silence her and stop the story about their alleged affair from being published in the National Enquirer.
Soros-backed Manhattan District Attorney Alvin Bragg elevated the Stormy ‘hush payment’ case from a misdemeanor to a felony earlier this year in a effort to ‘get Trump’ shortly after the former president announced a 2024 bid for the White House.
Julian Assange movie – ithaca – John Shipton – Julian Assange’s father
Here We Go Again… Massive 70 Car Train Derails in North Dakota Spilling Hazardous Materials
By Jim Hoft Mar. 27, 2023 12:18 pm0 Comments
A 70-car train derailed in Richland County, North Dakota on Monday morning spilling hazardous materials.
31 of the 70 cars derailed.
This is the latest in a string of train derailments in the US in a country that sees more than 1,000 train derailments each year.
Authorities say it happened around 11:15 p.m. on Sunday, March 26 just one mile southeast of Wyndmere, ND.
31 cars of a 70-car train derailed, with some leaking petroleum used to make asphalt. At this time, authorities are saying there’s no danger to the public.
FOX News reported:
A 70-car train hauling hazardous materials derailed in North Dakota late Sunday, according to local reports.
The Canadian Pacific train derailed around 11:15 p.m. about a mile southeast of Wyndmere in Richland County, Valley News Live reported. No injuries were reported.
Officials said 31 of the 70 cars derailed, with some leaking petroleum used in the making of asphalt, according to the report.
(Richard: If the tracks are in good shape there shouldn’t be three derailments in a month. There weren’t when my relatives were working on the railroads.)
Flyover country. Again.
Punishing us for voting for Trump
Iran, TikTok: Two pings on the war that’s in progress
These pings will be brief. Things are moving quickly at the moment. That doesn’t mean they’ll continue moving quickly. The vicissitude aisle is always having a blue-light special. But the OODA loop is tightening, and if that isn’t a recognized sign that the conflict is underway, it will be when this is wrapped for the history books.
Ping One: Iran and the Biden administration
Readers will be aware that Saudi Arabia and Iran recently effected a rapprochement in relations, brokered by China. The Biden administration not only wasn’t disturbed by that; it seemed to point out that it had basically through of it first, offering a favorable view of such a prospect last year.
[…] Obama’s anti-Western colonialist messianism, which has now been restored under President Joe Biden as the ideological basis of American foreign policy, brought about the restoration of Russian power in the Middle East and the rise of a near-nuclear Iran.
It brought revolution and counter-revolution to Egypt and destabilized the Sunni Arab world as a whole for the first time in 90 years, shaking the foundations of American power in the Middle East.…
Like Obama celebrating Russia’s “help” in getting him off the hook from his red/pink line in Syria.
Richard, more sources you may like:
• Aleks, Black Mountain Analysis
• Big Serge Thought
• Martin van Creveld, military history and strategy (more left-leaning)
Nashville Police Update: Elementary Christian School Shooter Is a FEMALE, “Who appears to be a teen”…7 Are Confirmed Dead Including Shooter…Police Reveal Types of Weapons Shooter Carried Inside School [VIDEO]
By Patty McMurray Mar. 27, 2023 12:53 pm1121 Comments
This morning around 10 am, a shooter opened fire inside the Covenant Elementary School, where students from pre-school through 6th grade attend. The Presbyterian School has around 210 students.
100 Percent Fed Up reports – A Nashville Police spokesperson has just confirmed that 3 students and 3 staff members have been killed. He also confirmed that the shooting suspect is a female who “appears to be in her teens.” The seventh casualty is the shooter
According to the Nashville Police, one police officer is being treated for wounds related to a broken glass injury.
Watch Live | School shooting at Christian Academy in Tennessee… 7 dead including 28 year-old female shooter
Posted by Kane on March 27, 2023 1:25 pm
NEWS JUNKIES — CHECK OUT OUR HOMEPAGE
(Richard: Another school shooting, in this one a 28 year old woman went into the school and opened fire. When are the leftist going to stop living in a fantasy world and start insisting on armed trained people at all schools? Rather the accept the fact that people are committing these evil acts they continue to believe that inaniment objects are forcing people to commit mass murder of children. The left ignores the mass stabbings that occur in the Far East nations where guns are stabbed.
Save our kids, train and arm teachers and administrators in all schools.
(Richard: A leftist with mental problems. The left will ignore the mental problems that caused a terror attacks on a Christian target and call for gun control.)
Nashville school shooter ID’d as Audrey Hale
By Stephanie Pagones and Larry Celona
March 27, 2023 4:58pm Updated
The shooter who killed six people at an elementary school in Nashville Monday has been identified as Audrey Hale, law enforcement confirmed to The Post.
The transgender shooter had opened fire inside the private Christian elementary school, killing three children and three adults. Police received an active shooter call at 10:13 a.m.
Officers heard gunshots on the second floor and rushed to a lobby-type area where they came across the 28-year-old Nashville resident, who had two assault rifles and a handgun.
Police said Hale once attended the school. A Linkedin profile listed Audrey Hale as an Illustrator and graphic designer, with pronouns listed as he/him.
Hale, who had also started to go by the name Aiden, was shot dead by police on site at 10:27 a.m.
A Tik Tok account under the name iam_aiden10 which linked to other social media associated with Hale had a final video posted of a person’s shadow, which showed them bouncing a basketball and then a basketball net, an apparent tribute to a friend who had passed.
The best lack all conviction,
while the worst
?Are full of passionate intensity.
– William Yeats
28-Year-Old Deceased Nashville Shooter Identified- ‘Audrey Hale” an Illustrator, Identifies as Transgender – Included Manifesto (PHOTOS)
By Cullen Linebarger Mar. 27, 2023 4:34 pm212 Comments
The mass shooter who killed at least 6 people dead Nashville’s Covenant School Monday morning, including 3 children has been identified by police as Audrey Hale.
NBC News was the first to confirm the news.
The New York Post reported that Hale was a former student at Covenant School and online profile listed her as working in Commercial Illustration and Graphic Design.
Mrs. Sunshine is right. He is Dog King. Purposefully an clown to demoralize Americans.
He is every vile thing you want to call him.
no metal detectors – monthly lock-down drills – the new duck and cover – what’s the upside to raising children to live in fear?
Civil Defense beats Sitting Duck.
(Richard: This depraved conduct is the logical result of the destruction of the Judeo-Christian morality that is the foundation of Western Civ. We have all seen the slow collapse of morality since the 60s. This collapse is the result of the lefts attack on Christianity, Christians are starting to fight back. The fight will be long and vicious but in the long run we will win.
Two teachers in Virginia county arrested for inappropriate sexual contact with students
The Frederick County, Va., employees were arrested after an investigation was launched last month
By Andrew Mark Miller | Fox News
Two teachers in the same Virginia school district have been arrested for “inappropriate contact” with students following an investigation.
Emily Walker, a P.E. teacher at Frederick County Middle School, and Sherando High School teacher’s aide Matthew Geyer have both been arrested after a Frederick County Sheriff’s Office investigation launched in March concluded that both had “inappropriate contact” with students, Fox 5 DC reported.
Walker, 23, is said to have had relations with a 12-year-old student on multiple occasions, and it was determined that hundreds of texts had been exchanged between the two. The conversations
Ford CEO reveals EV reality: America ‘cannot continue to import’ batteries, earth minerals
Ford builds EV plant in Tennessee despite $3B profit loss expectation for 2023
While American consumers and politicians seem to remain split on whether to go pedal-to-the-metal on electric vehicle (EV) production, Ford’s CEO has shared a critical message to those who want them to rule the roads sooner than later.
No one makes more full-size trucks than we do in America. We have to on-shore this stuff,” Ford Motor Company president and CEO Jim Farley told “Fox & Friends” co-host Brian Kilmeade on Friday. “We have to have mines and processing to build a digital economy here in the U.S. We cannot continue to import batteries and rare earth from overseas. We have to move it to America.”
“We’re willing to invest,” Farley continued, “but we have to have people in partnership with government that’s going to improve mines, improve processing. These sites are really important. We can build all the plants, but what’s the good if we’re importing batteries?”
The CEO appeared on Fox News from Ford’s newest EV plant just outside Memphis, Tennessee, to discuss the company’s latest investment in the American economy as well as ongoing improvements within the EV market.
JUST IN: Maricopa County Superior Court Rescinds Order Setting Dates for Kari Lake’s Ballot Signature Fraud Challenge as Supreme Court Extends
Maricopa County Superior Court Judge Peter Thompson issued a Minute Entry on Saturday, rescinding his previous order outlining the schedule for supplemental memorandums of law and oral argument.
As The Gateway Pundit reported, Thompson, last Thursday, issued a new order, setting the schedule for review of Kari Lake’s signature verification challenge after the Arizona Supreme Court ruled that the trial court must reconsider this issue.
The deadline to submit memorandums of law was set for Tuesday, March 28, and possible conference with oral argument was set for Thursday, March 30.
Catholic Joe Biden Wants to Force Pro-Lifers to Pay for Abortions
“I go to Mass and I say the rosary.”
March 27, 2023 by Robert Spencer 15 Comments
One of the most revolting aspects of the sinister corruptocrat Old Joe Biden’s carefully cultivated public persona as affable Lunchbucket Joe is his ostentatious false piety. “I go to Mass and I say the rosary. I find it to be incredibly comforting,” Biden claimed in a 2020 campaign ad, and the establishment media has pushed this nonsense as well.
“The new president,” the New York Times announced three days after Joe started pretending to be president, “elevates a liberal Catholicism that once seemed destined to fade away.” By “liberal Catholicism,” the Times means an ostentatious, external piety emptied of all its content and cynically designed to win Catholic votes, and
So does a female to male tranny signal gender-style “street cred” by going male-style postal?
More alluring clickbait.
Police removing protesters from park near planned Atlanta Public Safety Training Center after executive order
By FOX 5 Atlanta Digital TeamPublished March 27, 2023 10:50AMDeKalb CountyFOX 5 Atlanta
DEKALB COUNTY, Ga. – DeKalb County police and other law enforcement agencies are clearing out the area close to the planned Atlanta Public Safety Training Center, which critics have named “Cop City.”
The DeKalb County Police Department tells FOX 5 that the multijurisdictional task force is currently searching the Intrenchment Creek Park looking for anyone in restricted areas who will either leave immediate or be arrested and charged with criminal trespass.
The calm before the storm in Paris