There will be content in this post, but things are moving slowly today here at Castle Tepes thanks to the first real flu in a long long time. For the moment this is essentially a stump post for people to put in news, videos and other info in the comments on the current counter-revolution taking place in Iran.
Some food for thought though.
The media is making great hay with a false comparison of Obama’s tepid support of the anti-regime protestors in 2009 with President Trump’s clear support of them now.
This is not meaningful if one wants to understand Obama’s position.
The way to know what Obama really thought about the things he said at the time:
If we really want to know what Obama really thinks about national sovereignty and the people’s rights to choose, look at his numerous statements demanding that the Egyptians reinstate Morsi after the world’s largest demonstrations to remove him because of his implementation of Muslim Brotherhood style sharia law in that nation.
For many months after Morsi was deposed, Obama continued to attempt to intervene on his behalf and get him back to power.
And so that is how we know what Obama really thinks.
Transcript of the Rouhani speech at weekly cabinet meeting:
https://twitter.com/Rouhani_ir/status/947522321446776833 (auto-translate) The critique and protest is the people’s right, but the way it should solve the country’s problems and improve the lives of the people. The destruction of public property and the smash of social order is not accepted by anyone. 9:38 AM – 31 Dec 2017
https://english.almanar.com.lb/418222 Rouhani: Iranians Free to Protest, Trump Has No Right to Sympathize with Our Nation
https://twitter.com/Amirabdolahian/status/947207063746367488 Mr. Trump do not get excited. People’s economic demands are diffrent to rioters. Iranians prefer national security & religious democracy as practiced by Islamic system over WH’s terrorist & deceptive policies.(Special Aid on International Affairs of the Islamic Parliament & former deputy of MFA of IRAN / Diplomat)
Pointing to the recent events, the chairman of the National Security and Foreign and Security Policy Committee said: ‘The enemies of the revolution, with the utmost abuse of these events, are provoking people…
PressTV- Iran’s President Rouhani comments following Protests in cities
Englhab Ave: the name of the woman in the iconic white hijab picture
Sorry – that is the name of the street, not the girl.
Iran’s Revolutionary Guards have warned anti-government protesters they will face the nation’s “iron fist” if political unrest continues.
Large amount of aircraft leaving Iran at the moment, many with no callsign, origin, or destination. Exodus in progress?
look at later tweets — they all had call-signs in the normal way.
This uses a lot of data, so perhaps to refrain from too many views directly – someone can post a photo periodically. This real-time (?) site was the source of the Strat observation.
https://www.flightradar24.com/33.35,50.86/7 air-traffic over Teheran
Map of Iran showing the demonstrations:
Because it’s likely in Arabic, rather than in Farsi, I suppose that it’s from a Yemeni (or Saudi) source. What is eventpress.net? https://translate.googleusercontent.com/translate_c?depth=1&hl=en&prev=search&rurl=translate.google.com&sl=ar&sp=nmt4&u=http://eventpress.net/news_details.php%3Fsid%3D16866&usg=ALkJrhiuVgxv5fvmG7CNimqrNpBQiGlrGg
my bad. I was referring to the map posted at https://libertyunyielding.com/2017/12/31/interesting-timeline-wont-see-elsewhere-iran-protests/
The map you posted includes day-by-day color coded cities – nice.
#Update99-#Lorestan, a group of young protesters were attached by the security forces.Three groups then united and burned a Basij base and two banks. #Rasht just now, Basij Forces tried to arrest a young woman protesters didn’t allow it and started beating them up.
Live updates here:
Some security forces refusing brutal orders:
I’ve got the sneaking feeling that this is real and the Mullahs can’t do anything about it. It would seem that Muslims have their own form of “democracy” and, as they did in Egypt against the Muslim Brotherhood, they are all standing up and shouting “NO!” with one voice. Apparently, there exists a line past which you don’t want to push even the most religious Muslims…
Imagine how much the average young modern Iranian must hate the 7th century Islamic Mafia that’s running their country now and making sure that no one ever has any fun whatsoever, and that nobody makes any money without being personal friends of the Mullahs. Now imagine what tiny little pieces they are going to tear the Mullahs into if they catch them alive on Persian soil. Imagine jets packed with treasure and quaking Mullahs taking off from Tehran and landing in Paris where they will all have to live with their billion dollar doggy bags, compliments of the Persian People.
Hey, I have an idea! Why don’t we all forget the term “Iran” from now on and just refer to the place as “Persia”…?
I dunno. Less than 2 weeks ago, the Saudis blamed Iran for firing a missile over Riyadh. https://news.sky.com/story/missile-attack-escalates-tensions-between-saudi-arabia-and-iran-11177870
For me, its an important distinction. Iran, is IIRC, a tribute to Hitler. Its a version of the Nazi term, “Aryan” and was a kind of shout out to the Nazis to say that the Persians are way on board with the program. The Islamic Republic of Iran is a strong statement. The first President to use the term, was Obama. Which should have told people where his head was at but instead he proved Churchill right, that the worst argument for democracy was a 5 minute conversation with the average voter.
Persia was a pretty enlightened place with a hell of a history, somewhat akin to Rome or Greece. They had relatively benign empires and where an advancing culture.
I look forward to calling the country Persia again. Its sort of why I used a math title for a post, where Iran is less than Persia.
I look forward to the corrections and additions that will come in response to this.
Eric Shawn reports: Anti-regime protests spread in Iran
Amb. John Bolton on the U.S. encouraging the Iranian opposition
If the change goes back to the shah, that only means that the followers have short memories (or are paid off to make poor choices).
https://www.alimentarium.org/en/magazine/history/most-expensive-party-ever In October 1971 the Shah of Persia flew in eighteen tons of food to celebrate his country’s 2,500th anniversary and his own glory. Emperors, kings, presidents and sheikhs from all over the world were regaled for three days amidst the ancient ruins of Persepolis.
You need to understand the politics of the region to understand why things like that are needed. You also need to look at the culture in Iran and consider if that culture will have to change before a democracy is possible. It took a long time for any type of semi permanent democratic government took hold in Europe and look at how quickly they are turning to a non democratic government. You also need to look at the way that nation building (trying to export Western Democracies) has failed in almost all cases. The only three examples I can think of that worked are Japan, the Philippines and Taiwan.. The Philippines is slipping back into strong man rule and Taiwan is only a couple of decades out of strong man rule.
Monarchies are normally less oppressive then theocracies, (North Korea is a combination of the two, as all most communist governments). Insisting on a democracy to replace the theocracy will probably result in a new theocracy with different leaders. A semi democratic monarchy that can educate the kids and lead them into a constitutional monarchy like Britain may be the way to go. Different cultures often need different solutions then what works in Western Nations.
Excellent analysis, Richard!
Get well soon Eeyore! I wish you and your family a Happy New Year!
Rumour that Ayatollah Khamenei’s house is being attacked by people:
Al Arabiya is now reporting that the march towards Khamenei’s residence started at 19:50 local time:
al arabiya – Protesters march toward residence of Iran’s Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei
Several media outlets have reported that a crowd of protestors began marching toward Iranian Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei’s residence on Pasteur St. on Sunday night in the capital Tehran.
Sources have confirmed security forces and members of the Revolutionary Guards were heavily deployed in nearby streets Khamenei’s residence.
According to Shahrvand-Yar, a non-profit institution that advocates for democracy and change in Iran, said on its channel on Telgram app that the crowds of protesters began marching toward’s the house at exactly 19:50 Tehran time.
They added that there were orders for military commanders to “take all measures to prevent the demonstrators from reaching the house of the Supreme Leader”.
Anti-government protesters demonstrated in Iran on Sunday in defiance of a warning by the authorities of a tough crackdown, extending for a fourth day one of the most audacious challenges to the clerical leadership since pro-reform unrest in 2009.
sub-titled in English
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=eB5YpJxg6Sg “Down with Hezbollah” Iran uprising continues. 12/29/2017
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=qnjKSntNnl0 (I can’t hear anything distinct in the first video — don’t know how they translated it.) 12/28/2017
ABC News –
Dowd: US Moral Authority ‘Drastically Diminished’
ABC Analyst Matthew Dowd Says US Doesn’t Have ‘Moral Authority’ To Talk About Iranian Protests
“Our moral authority in the world has been drastically diminished,” reducing our ability to weigh in on protests in Iran. “How can we talk about what’s going on Iran when we don’t talk about what goes on in Russia?”
This is what ignited the protests in 20 points, info most of us don’t have:
1 On Tuesday, December 19, the Iranian government announced a new austerity plan.
2 The plan imposed a 50% increase in the price of fuel.
3 The government decided to cancel the monetary support of more than 34 million people.
4 Economists close to President Hassan Rouhani warned that the plan would lead to a societal explosion.
5 Hassan Rouhani snubbed the advice and decided to proceed with the austerity plan.
Fox News – Eric Shawn reports: The calls for freedom in Iran
I am not looking for the link but I read an awful lot of people arrested of which some 40 student leaders. I wouldn’t want to be in their shoes.
Meanwhile, in front of the White House:
Makes me wonder if the anti-Iran regime demonstrators who show up in front of The Hill in Ottawa every Saturday will be there next Saturday…
Wash Post: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=6cb7oz_jlG4
I see only MEK posters
”#Update102- An hour ago protesters were attacked by Basij(IRGC) Forces in #Kermanshah but people resisted, took one hostage, took his trousers off and let him go. This is going to be a tactic against IRGC Forces all over the country when protesters get attacked.”
As soon as some basij forces attacked protesters from Hawza building, people fight back and burned Hawza’s office. (Theological Seminary used in Iran to train mullahs)
Setting Ablaze the Cars of the Repressive Paramilitary ‘#Basij Force’ in #Esfahan Province
Prince Reza Pahlavi calls for mass demonstrations
Hope you feel better soon Eeyore. You know what you have to do. Sleep. This all can wait.
Obama’s brain – rewind
“OBAMA’S IRANIAN-BORN ADVISER ‘ARCHITECT’ OF DEAL?”
Jerome R. Corsi – April 13, 2015
“Letting Obama Be Obama”
by Paul Kengor – July 5, 2011
Valerie Jarrett – Discover the Networks + Resource Links – Left Column